Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x557bd1d52aedc49fb61be6a41b3a02ce78cfb3357ac225a2990f2112f5afd841
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 25c | 2,000$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.14 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 984.27$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.18 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 942.83$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 72c | 879.13$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 27c | 368.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…4af5backed No | 58c | 331.72$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 14c | 299.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 20c | 240$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 43c | 233.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 203.06$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 17c | 196.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 196.13$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.92 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 61c | 185.62$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.9 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 185.11$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 78c | 180.67$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…e4fcbacked Yes | 19c | 148.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 73c | 125$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…2c8ebacked Yes | 28c | 109.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 14c | 71.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 69.72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Yes | 27c | 54.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1114…e376backed Yes | 23c | 48.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed7b…7b92backed No | 74c | 33.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 72cpaid | -73%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 35c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed No | 78c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…5d8ebacked Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 20.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…3e9fbacked No | 74c | 20.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 75cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1972…9dbabacked No | 57c | 19.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-05-04?Yes won
- Will Rangers FC win on 2026-05-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.