Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-05-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x551d19e774b8ade552fdba9a4154570e21e115a0b871ea6706c6bdef15a5b4dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed No | 1c | 5,639$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1df…677fbacked No | 70c | 4,314$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.2 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 1,123$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.32 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 31c | 1,015$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.96 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 926.34$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.62 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 11c | 871.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.59 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 48c | 779.05$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.77 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 67c | 764.75$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.38 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 57c | 640.58$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.76 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 67c | 556.2$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.59 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…f8b7backed Yes | 14c | 428.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.57 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 72c | 397.22$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.22 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b43…31cebacked Yes | 20c | 339.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Yes | 77c | 259.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…5234backed Yes | 41c | 255.65$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.26 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 55c | 214.53$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.93 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 34c | 199.97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.98 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 188.96$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.83 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 38c | 179.84$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.67 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 11c | 163.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.64 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 15c | 152.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9e…3fbabacked Yes | 35c | 125.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 67c | 117.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1732…1c15backed Yes | 33c | 116.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Yes | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 72c | 104.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 36c | 87.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…5b5abacked Yes | 18c | 83.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +458.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Yes | 61c | 78.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a4…31eebacked Yes | 35c | 70.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…5e2ebacked Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 30c | 68.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 15c | 66.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 44c | 63.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2d…28b8backed Yes | 80c | 59.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…0614backed Yes | 25c | 56.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 36c | 55.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…76a1backed Yes | 35c | 53.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 67c | 48.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed7b…7b92backed No | 69c | 36.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 72cpaid | -73%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked Yes | 80c | 15.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 67cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b3…1b3ebacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-05-04?this page
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Rangers FC win on 2026-05-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.