NBA · resolved market
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x832f4a1c8439fe079fd69dc03249d3bcddfb43e57ea25eefc5978d419ac39d15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavsof Raptors, Cavs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Raptors | 24c | 14,442$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.7 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Cavs | 72c | 8,839$6,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.93 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Raptors | 6c | 5,830$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.44 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Raptors | 10c | 5,721$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.54 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c23…0c74backed Raptors | 27c | 5,689$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…9241backed Raptors | 4c | 4,593$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Raptors | 29c | 4,089$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17db…d842backed Raptors | 28c | 3,952$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Raptors | 12c | 3,789$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.66 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb465…0d8dbacked Cavs | 70c | 3,742$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.09 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…fc9dbacked Raptors | 7c | 3,619$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.98 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7110…b042backed Raptors | 23c | 3,263$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Raptors | 13c | 2,807$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.93 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors | 5c | 2,592$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.39 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Raptors | 21c | 2,584$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.63 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavs | 78c | 2,563$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.6 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed Raptors | 12c | 2,400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 265 | 30.9%82 W · 183 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Cavs | 76c | 2,028$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.97 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69cc…2e44backed Raptors | 46c | 2,006$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f15…52f1backed Raptors | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cavs | 79c | 1,822$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.88 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b98…537ebacked Raptors | 40c | 1,558$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…d87cbacked Raptors | 25c | 1,500$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Raptors | 22c | 1,480$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Raptors | 20c | 1,424$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.11 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Raptors | 7c | 1,389$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.58 | 96 | 9.4%9 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cavs | 61c | 1,332$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.11 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…aaddbacked Raptors | 26c | 1,260$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.94 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…f182backed Raptors | 13c | 1,248$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed Cavs | 72c | 1,080$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.68 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…b678backed Raptors | 6c | 1,078$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.06 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Raptors | 31c | 1,019$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.17 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Raptors | 25c | 993.28$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.32 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Cavs | 78c | 964.84$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.27 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Raptors | 21c | 930.34$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.17 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…fda4backed Raptors | 33c | 878.89$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…8c8dbacked Raptors | 12c | 764.38$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.46 | 161 | 34.2%55 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked Raptors | 28c | 754.23$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdf…82b4backed Raptors | 40c | 720.07$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Cavs | 80c | 680.54$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.47 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…6591backed Raptors | 27c | 619.4$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Cavs | 77c | 599.68$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.21 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Raptors | 29c | 599.48$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.55 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…9c50backed Raptors | 20c | 589.76$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.72 | 187 | 35.8%67 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81be…a441backed Raptors | 18c | 586$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.41 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…0ec2backed Raptors | 27c | 569.66$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavs | 62c | 527.9$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.86 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Cavs | 64c | 522.49$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Raptors | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed Raptors | 21c | 499.96$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Cavs | 62c | 478.84$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.96 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b0…5f6bbacked Raptors | 3c | 475.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Raptors | 13c | 473.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 634 | 45.1%286 W · 348 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Raptors | 12c | 473.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Raptors | 21c | 466.04$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Raptors | 19c | 450.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e9…9afabacked Raptors | 12c | 383.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Cavs | 74c | 377.32$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa43f…f2b5backed Raptors | 28c | 358.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a5…4531backed Raptors | 8c | 357.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3941…9c55backed Raptors | 28c | 355.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x890d…e39cbacked Raptors | 28c | 354.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…2869backed Cavs | 72c | 345.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 174 | 59.2%103 W · 71 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…4716backed Raptors | 4c | 343.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Cavs | 72c | 335.56$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.01 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Raptors | 7c | 322.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 123 | 4.9%6 W · 117 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…41afbacked Raptors | 13c | 300.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d33…aa06backed Raptors | 14c | 297.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Raptors | 13c | 293.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…d699backed Cavs | 71c | 293.28$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Cavs | 77c | 292.9$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 129 | 30.2%39 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…a907backed Raptors | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…ec63backed Raptors | 37c | 269.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Raptors | 33c | 258.64$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed Cavs | 77c | 253.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Cavs | 79c | 253.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…d12cbacked Raptors | 28c | 251.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Raptors | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…48dfbacked Raptors | 22c | 250$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x381d…fedebacked Raptors | 28c | 249.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…a1f1backed Raptors | 23c | 245.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x395f…7a73backed Raptors | 28c | 242.07$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e10…650cbacked Cavs | 79c | 241.73$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f07…0639backed Raptors | 12c | 241.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Raptors | 11c | 231.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…132ebacked Cavs | 74c | 230.23$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…2694backed Raptors | 39c | 228.48$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89b…87a6backed Cavs | 73c | 227.75$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe86…0391backed Raptors | 28c | 215.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1515…8571backed Raptors | 28c | 213.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…706cbacked Raptors | 29c | 208.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fed…a1f9backed Raptors | 10c | 202.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x376c…e51dbacked Raptors | 19c | 201.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Raptors | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b17…1a5cbacked Raptors | 33c | 199.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb161…2d78backed Raptors | 24c | 194.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…d454backed Raptors | 16c | 188.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd584…cce2backed Raptors | 12c | 179.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ed…309cbacked Raptors | 28c | 179.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cda…2c02backed Raptors | 33c | 175.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.