MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x693aaa7426dfe3515e6108a30abeb799618a8ce388751f6625b96d4abe7c43a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Cleveland Guardians, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 57,999$30,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,077.4 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 49,398$24,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,294.33 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 15,432$8,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,024.75 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 15,243$7,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,926.26 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 13,961$6,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,259.86 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 6,391$3,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,276.43 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 5,675$2,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,951.14 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 5,375$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,741.38 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 3,704$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.08 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals | 66c | 2,400$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 2,321$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.49 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 2,285$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 73c | 2,136$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.79 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 2,026$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.26 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Kansas City Royals | 78c | 1,843$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.26 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,804$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.26 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 71c | 1,787$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.26 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 1,765$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.12 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Cleveland Guardians | 19c | 1,500$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.36 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 1,120$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.28 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cleveland Guardians | 6c | 1,002$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Kansas City Royals | 78c | 971.22$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kansas City Royals | 79c | 943.12$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.29 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Kansas City Royals | 76c | 909$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Cleveland Guardians | 17c | 900$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 813$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.76 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Kansas City Royals | 72c | 775.16$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.02 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 720$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.29 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 639.88$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.17 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 588$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.76 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 586$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.64 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Cleveland Guardians | 6c | 533.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 494.55$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.74 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas City Royals | 54c | 440.53$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.64 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc199…a956backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 432.69$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Kansas City Royals | 68c | 412.67$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.03 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals | 69c | 406.55$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.67 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 22c | 401.42$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.17 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 385$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 380$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 370$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 350$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 339.07$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.07 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 319.98$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.19 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 315.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.63 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 308.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.67 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 76c | 286.56$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 246.6$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.6 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f6…0f69backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 243.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.55 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 240$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…eaf3backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 225$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 220$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 216.07$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.07 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 209.8$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.85 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 206.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Kansas City Royals | 68c | 205$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.52 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 200.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.01 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…bfaabacked Cleveland Guardians | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 193.88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 189$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 186.66$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.73 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 160.73$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Kansas City Royals | 70c | 155.78$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 153.85$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 145.16$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8d…33efbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 144.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Cleveland Guardians | 24c | 144.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Kansas City Royals | 75c | 142$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 387 | 68.5%265 W · 122 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…dd47backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 136$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd490…8d59backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 135.82$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cleveland Guardians | 22c | 132$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 129.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2201…b675backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 123.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 245 | 44.1%108 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…ccd2backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 119.23$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6857…4e2dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 117$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Kansas City Royals | 73c | 110.32$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb573…9b3bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 108.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…afa2backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 104.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 346 | 44.8%155 W · 191 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fee…71b7backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 104.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.