TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,646
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,646 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16bb…8492backed Under53c22,612$11,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,627.8286548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over47c21,968$10,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,324.8955053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under53c11,254$5,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,317.782,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Over48c5,096$2,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,446.2718860.1%113 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+237.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb93d…f0c4backed Over49c4,503$2,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,227.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44039047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f6c…b40cbacked Over36c2,800$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c2,337$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.516,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c1,917$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.0912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under52c1,720$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.191,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over48c1,691$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.584,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under52c1,667$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.161,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Over48c1,354$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65011051.8%57 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Under76c1,313$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.6225066.4%166 W · 84 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over40c1,187$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.689,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over44c1,069$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.374,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009045.6%41 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked Under50c1,038$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.047851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over26c758.14$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.998,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under51c674.49$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.577951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over49c650$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.526545.7%121 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34f9…ebf6backed Over62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b55…1167backed Under58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16810860.2%65 W · 43 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over49c369.94$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.272,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Under52c321.6$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.373461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdff8…3c8bbacked Under53c320$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.41637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa564…e6f3backed Over49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under53c275$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2577050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x563d…75aebacked Over36c246.29$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a22…3652backed Over50c237.9$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.95944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Over32c232.47$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.667635.5%27 W · 49 L-7.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over26c231.31$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1455847.7%266 W · 292 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c225.04$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.465,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under73c205.89$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.892969%20 W · 9 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+32.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under44c201$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.6532751.7%169 W · 158 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce8…fc49backed Over38c197.37$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under53c190.05$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.31,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over27c182.56$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4467742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Over49c182$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1813452.2%70 W · 64 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over37c172.7$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.566,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over48c167.2$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2628154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under51c153.06$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under50c139.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3539344.3%174 W · 219 L-22.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df7…3d27backed Over47c136.98$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.815143.1%22 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad76…93febacked Under46c135$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.26540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over37c129.97$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.876,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under52c123$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.191,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7616…5bedbacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Over50c104$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5237857.4%217 W · 161 L+1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec45…6c6dbacked Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4717058.2%99 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499349.5%46 W · 47 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under70c95.24$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0229047.6%138 W · 152 L-11.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under51c85.11$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.71,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Over44c83.88$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0837143.9%163 W · 208 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42ac…2096backed Over45c82.63$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.926851.5%35 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf23…dcb7backed Over48c79$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.925738.6%22 W · 35 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under61c78.06$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Under51c74.51$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.51977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+72.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d79…1aabbacked Over49c72.16$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Over48c68.63$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9413152.7%69 W · 62 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Under48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.523651.3%121 W · 115 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcfe…4b94backed Under40c61.28$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.773275%24 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Under53c61.14$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6540148.1%193 W · 208 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over46c59.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.142,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under79c58.57$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.31,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cd7…8e4abacked Over48c53.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.53644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6259…c451backed Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over47c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Under51c49.97$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4855953.1%297 W · 262 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfca7…2bbdbacked Over52c48.61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84bb…25d3backed Over34c48.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4712846.1%59 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb69b…9ce7backed Over48c46.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.59145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Over24c46.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.985633.9%19 W · 37 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1621353.5%114 W · 99 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51df…8f22backed Over25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over48c39.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.114,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x283d…221abacked Under53c38.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.23560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b48…1d20backed Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.742544%11 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under65c37.35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0716947.3%80 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Over49c34.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7924350.6%123 W · 120 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Over62c33.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.524344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Under70c32.37$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.620764.7%134 W · 73 L+21.2wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x32b5…b692backed Under52c30.76$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7619148.2%92 W · 99 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffd6…6939backed Over48c30.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.763053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under52c29.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.471,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Under53c27.27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8211949.6%59 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under56c26.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8266749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under64c25.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3375344.1%332 W · 421 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1147743%205 W · 272 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bbd…98f2backed Over48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1218751.3%96 W · 91 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under43c24.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.838,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x400d…0191backed Over48c24.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0457…4f8ebacked Under53c23.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.133342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Over48c22.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1125256.7%143 W · 109 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under67c21.92$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2352449%257 W · 267 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d04…6e43backed Under52c21.35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6526…2c8ebacked Over48c21.05$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.15018%9 W · 41 L-8.4wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-54%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Under53c19.05$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9514353.1%76 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.