MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x582d41d9f92e75e7a2d729425e3d50f39e3ee89205b145b6298a997b4b3be044
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 53c | 22,612$11,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,627.82 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 47c | 21,968$10,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,324.89 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 53c | 11,254$5,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,317.78 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Over | 48c | 5,096$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.27 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…f0c4backed Over | 49c | 4,503$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6c…b40cbacked Over | 36c | 2,800$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 2,337$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.51 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 1,917$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.09 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 52c | 1,720$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.19 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 48c | 1,691$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.58 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.16 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Over | 48c | 1,354$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Under | 76c | 1,313$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.62 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 40c | 1,187$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.68 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 44c | 1,069$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.37 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Under | 50c | 1,038$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.04 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 758.14$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 51c | 674.49$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.5 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 49c | 650$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.5 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed Over | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Under | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 49c | 369.94$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.27 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Under | 52c | 321.6$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.37 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Under | 53c | 320$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa564…e6f3backed Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 275$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.25 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563d…75aebacked Over | 36c | 246.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a22…3652backed Over | 50c | 237.9$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Over | 32c | 232.47$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 26c | 231.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 225.04$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.46 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under | 73c | 205.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 44c | 201$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.65 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed Over | 38c | 197.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 53c | 190.05$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 27c | 182.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 49c | 182$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 37c | 172.7$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 48c | 167.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.26 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 51c | 153.06$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 50c | 139.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…3d27backed Over | 47c | 136.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad76…93febacked Under | 46c | 135$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 37c | 129.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 52c | 123$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.19 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…5bedbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Over | 50c | 104$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 70c | 95.24$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 85.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Over | 44c | 83.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…2096backed Over | 45c | 82.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…dcb7backed Over | 48c | 79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 78.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Under | 51c | 74.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d79…1aabbacked Over | 49c | 72.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Over | 48c | 68.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed Under | 40c | 61.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 53c | 61.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 46c | 59.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 79c | 58.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd7…8e4abacked Over | 48c | 53.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6259…c451backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Under | 51c | 49.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca7…2bbdbacked Over | 52c | 48.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Over | 34c | 48.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…9ce7backed Over | 48c | 46.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Over | 24c | 46.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51df…8f22backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 39.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…221abacked Under | 53c | 38.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…1d20backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 65c | 37.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 49c | 34.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Over | 62c | 33.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 70c | 32.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +21.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…b692backed Under | 52c | 30.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…6939backed Over | 48c | 30.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 52c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Under | 53c | 27.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 56c | 26.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 64c | 25.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 43c | 24.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…0191backed Over | 48c | 24.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4f8ebacked Under | 53c | 23.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 67c | 21.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d04…6e43backed Under | 52c | 21.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…2c8ebacked Over | 48c | 21.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -54%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Under | 53c | 19.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.