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MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
San Diego Padresof Chicago White Sox, San Diego Padres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$281,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$301,878

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,668 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16bb…8492backed Chicago White Sox38c33,360$12,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,676.9990149.1%442 W · 459 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked San Diego Padres65c30,841$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,841.3924344.4%108 W · 135 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked San Diego Padres62c24,000$14,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,12077253.9%416 W · 356 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Chicago White Sox40c23,706$9,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,397.8348850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago White Sox38c19,383$7,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,344.371,69850.2%853 W · 845 L-20.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed San Diego Padres60c16,747$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,747.372360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed San Diego Padres61c11,000$6,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,29015851.9%82 W · 76 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ef5…dc05backed San Diego Padres53c10,084$5,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,775.22837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Chicago White Sox48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80051756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Chicago White Sox17c8,824$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50012227.9%34 W · 88 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres52c8,090$4,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,878.736,13255.4%3,395 W · 2,737 L+346.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago White Sox36c6,213$2,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,209.292,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1fc…5da8backed Chicago White Sox1c5,120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.635341.5%22 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox39c4,500$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7555,56750.5%2,812 W · 2,755 L+25.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox40c3,642$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4414,55549.2%2,239 W · 2,316 L-9.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked San Diego Padres63c3,600$2,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,33217953.1%95 W · 84 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago White Sox37c3,360$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.971,53459.5%912 W · 622 L+83.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres62c3,142$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.913,56251%1,817 W · 1,745 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Chicago White Sox40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001,08848.3%525 W · 563 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed San Diego Padres60c2,926$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.455052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Chicago White Sox32c2,441$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.122,55045.8%1,168 W · 1,382 L-75.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Chicago White Sox27c2,439$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.5625240.1%101 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2b8…b908backed Chicago White Sox23c2,354$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.52650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked San Diego Padres68c2,208$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.931,16042.6%494 W · 666 L-40.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Chicago White Sox39c2,193$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.361,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed San Diego Padres60c2,181$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.2712457.3%71 W · 53 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres72c2,161$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.588,30446.2%3,840 W · 4,464 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfa71…8aa0backed Chicago White Sox47c2,033$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.921330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick54cpaid-41.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Chicago White Sox34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6801,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed San Diego Padres63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74062447.6%297 W · 327 L-2.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed San Diego Padres62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76028358.3%165 W · 118 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked San Diego Padres62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7602,41848.6%1,174 W · 1,244 L-60.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago White Sox43c1,971$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.582,15350.2%1,080 W · 1,073 L+27.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x128a…a1b0backed Chicago White Sox30c1,687$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001816.7%3 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-66.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbaa2…7cf5backed San Diego Padres61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed San Diego Padres62c1,400$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53270546.8%330 W · 375 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Chicago White Sox38c1,385$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.672,37547.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox36c1,344$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.49,89146.4%4,594 W · 5,297 L+40.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres77c1,303$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.231,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Chicago White Sox40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres65c1,059$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.1512,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed San Diego Padres61c1,020$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.83167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed San Diego Padres63c1,016$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.871,20929%351 W · 858 L-0.9wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Chicago White Sox20c1,014$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.331,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Chicago White Sox33c1,000$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32562052.7%327 W · 293 L+31.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked San Diego Padres63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3705236.5%19 W · 33 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed San Diego Padres62c900$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34236149.6%179 W · 182 L-1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Chicago White Sox39c896.33$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35011051.8%57 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff48…4836backed Chicago White Sox46c802$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.621163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6076…f8fdbacked San Diego Padres63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6514243%61 W · 81 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…3586backed Chicago White Sox20c783.15$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf9…66dcbacked Chicago White Sox37c765.53$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.055143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8370…033bbacked Chicago White Sox40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked San Diego Padres61c739$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.211,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked San Diego Padres49c720.41$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.416456.3%36 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Chicago White Sox42c707.32$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.550860.2%306 W · 202 L+29.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e9…ee46backed Chicago White Sox26c701.11$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.842733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox38c700.05$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.357,07850.5%3,576 W · 3,502 L+1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres63c698.95$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.611,54351.1%789 W · 754 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres56c698.12$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.898,68252.6%4,563 W · 4,119 L+505.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Chicago White Sox9c687.74$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.651,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Chicago White Sox36c680.91$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.1352647.3%249 W · 277 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07f5…45d6backed San Diego Padres60c655.37$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.15580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+49.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked San Diego Padres62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22885952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Chicago White Sox29c594.83$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17529344.7%131 W · 162 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago White Sox34c545.55$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.491,60448.6%779 W · 825 L-2.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81be…a441backed San Diego Padres59c536$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.792236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago White Sox33c528.2$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.361,97953.2%1,052 W · 927 L+45.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Chicago White Sox39c518.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014134%48 W · 93 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Chicago White Sox34c515$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.11,54848.6%753 W · 795 L-4.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed San Diego Padres59c503.47$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.737143.9%163 W · 208 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Chicago White Sox38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19019248.4%93 W · 99 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92cd…9740backed San Diego Padres60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Chicago White Sox32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16030148.2%145 W · 156 L+12.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd65c…9a48backed San Diego Padres56c457.53$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.531631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Chicago White Sox11c451.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026315.6%41 W · 222 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed San Diego Padres63c426$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.6240645.1%183 W · 223 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Chicago White Sox39c420$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.771,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed San Diego Padres66c416.91$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.71,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Chicago White Sox38c401.58$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.536,30948.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked San Diego Padres62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15239850.3%200 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Chicago White Sox31c400$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9528451.4%146 W · 138 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Chicago White Sox38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15259350.4%299 W · 294 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Chicago White Sox38c399.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521,42343.6%620 W · 803 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde27…2cfdbacked Chicago White Sox50c388.1$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1941540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Chicago White Sox36c378.34$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.888952.8%469 W · 420 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6597…b746backed Chicago White Sox26c363.35$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0426451.1%135 W · 129 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fe…6a33backed Chicago White Sox36c337.5$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1218144.4%36 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Chicago White Sox42c333.8$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2526857.8%155 W · 113 L+26.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Chicago White Sox37c324.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12019348.7%94 W · 99 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Chicago White Sox39c319.93$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.145,24056.8%2,974 W · 2,266 L+130.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Chicago White Sox42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12619934.2%68 W · 131 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed San Diego Padres64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed San Diego Padres67c295.5$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.81,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Chicago White Sox40c293$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.250337.2%187 W · 316 L-42.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x08ec…8c8dbacked Chicago White Sox20c290$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9950…1432backed Chicago White Sox35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016249.4%80 W · 82 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed San Diego Padres57c285.19$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.351,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20f6…0f69backed San Diego Padres36c271$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.445137.3%19 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked San Diego Padres72c270$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.65570.9%39 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.