MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a3cbc842686da0db5b6593aa774d80cb3662f2a1ec501c46dbba3faccd6cd31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Toronto Blue Jays, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $429,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $445,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $429,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 430 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 35,781$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,780.97 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 28c | 31,762$8,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,915.79 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 31,460$13,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,842.5 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 29,440$12,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,963.99 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 67c | 20,534$13,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,719.33 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef5…dc05backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 18,923$8,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,572.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 14,027$7,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,312.33 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 13,553$7,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,234.28 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 9,550$4,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,348.17 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 9,258$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 9,000$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 8,290$4,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,813.36 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 7,682$3,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,454.71 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 7,194$3,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,238.24 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 32c | 7,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,760 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 6,683$3,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.53 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 5,500$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.97 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 5,299$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.96 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 5,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 4,575$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.35 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 4,170$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.86 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 3,900$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.77 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 3,839$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.51 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 3,697$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.21 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 2,947$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.63 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 67c | 2,289$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.92 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 2,118$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.04 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 2,102$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.46 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 2,002$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.48 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 2,000$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.75 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,960$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.95 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 1,818$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 1,817$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.67 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 1,810$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.78 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,725$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.15 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,671$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.48 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,669$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.3 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 75c | 1,585$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.03 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 1,475$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.19 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 28c | 1,400$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 1,394$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.57 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,392$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.37 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 74c | 1,350$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Blue Jays | 67c | 1,259$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.44 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 25c | 1,259$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.63 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…42c3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 1,236$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.72 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 1,206$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.56 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 1,110$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.85 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 976.44$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.51 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 956.52$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 920.48$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.29 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 899.99$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 724.85$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.6 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 718.73$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.44 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 709$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.05 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 661.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.04 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 653.33$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 649.88$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.45 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 645.39$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.34 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 620.64$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.12 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 599.99$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 590.68$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.55 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 583$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.46 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 552.27$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Tampa Bay Rays | 28c | 536.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.13 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Toronto Blue Jays | 76c | 531$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.56 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 530$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.9 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 20c | 516.3$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.04 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 500$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 495.26$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.39 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 493.49$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.39 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 483.62$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.63 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 482.1$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.59 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 480.87$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.85 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 476.84$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.5 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 470$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.2 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 467$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.76 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Toronto Blue Jays | 69c | 451.83$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f26…fe92backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 419.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…0d90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 29c | 410$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.5 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 24c | 400.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.54 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 400$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 391.96$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.32 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 374.85$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.85 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.