MLB · resolved market
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x728be691b221595028fc9c49149ca326c1155107fd39ebbd300cd99281e1fa81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Tampa Bay Rays, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 30c | 16,003$4,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,730.03 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 11,512$7,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,154.48 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 73c | 3,767$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.53 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 32c | 3,760$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.53 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 2,308$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.01 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 1,860$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.53 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 1,847$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.38 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 1,474$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.81 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 1,400$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 32c | 1,375$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 1,251$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.01 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 1,072$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…cdffbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 953.65$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 860$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.6 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 697.05$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 579.22$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.46 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 555$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 540.28$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 432.3$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.19 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 358.1$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 334.49$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 228.9$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 221.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 202.04$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 30c | 149.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 145$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 125$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d00…7507backed Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 125$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 111$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Tampa Bay Rays | 24c | 81.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tampa Bay Rays | 27c | 74.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Tampa Bay Rays | 33c | 73.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 67.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays | 24c | 67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 23c | 66.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 52.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 51.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…b939backed Toronto Blue Jays | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 43.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 38.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 37.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 36.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 19.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Toronto Blue Jays | 69c | 18.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 353 | 41.1%145 W · 208 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 15.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 15.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 15.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.