Premier League · resolved market
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74a5c1a750de6bc21075ce062c9636f73b9662b963c59b2820e619e467e1d0cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7865…4af9backed Under | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 80c | 3,847$3,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.42 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 12c | 1,396$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.35 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…e501backed Under | 13c | 1,095$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 18c | 1,039$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.9 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed Under | 22c | 1,038$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 9c | 991.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.06 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 19c | 939.95$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.02 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 19c | 918.42$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.03 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 80c | 475$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 19c | 189.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 329 | 51.4%169 W · 160 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Under | 21c | 154.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 78c | 132.68$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 19c | 125.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 584 | 46.1%269 W · 315 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x078e…3ebdbacked Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…bda2backed Over | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…a736backed Under | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Under | 20c | 77.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9891…102bbacked Over | 80c | 66.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Under | 18c | 65.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51af…8720backed Under | 19c | 57.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 23c | 53.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 77c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x746a…04c4backed Over | 80c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ea…0cf7backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…0114backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…e804backed Over | 80c | 22.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 75cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e11…834cbacked Over | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 64cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 79c | 15.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)Burnley FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.