TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Leeds United FCof Leeds United FC, Burnley FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$195,542
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$216,825

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,542 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3de4…b032backed Leeds United FC47c40,039$18,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,220.91471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+41.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Burnley FC53c22,295$11,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,816.5676842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Leeds United FC47c17,890$8,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,481.5311149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Leeds United FC46c10,541$4,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6922268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Leeds United FC50c8,898$4,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,412.774,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Leeds United FC48c8,333$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,333.333444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Leeds United FC46c8,332$3,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,462.4727955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Burnley FC53c8,000$4,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,24014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked Burnley FC54c7,778$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2001323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Burnley FC53c7,547$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00020545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Burnley FC53c7,045$3,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,756.2912949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Burnley FC53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18013155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7d2…a532backed Leeds United FC47c5,638$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,988.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Leeds United FC47c4,981$2,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,644.3813353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Burnley FC53c3,774$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Burnley FC53c3,748$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Burnley FC54c3,704$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e85…9b0bbacked Burnley FC55c3,636$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Burnley FC53c3,012$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.376,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ecf…9148backed Leeds United FC48c3,011$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.232552%13 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Burnley FC53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59014158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Burnley FC53c2,901$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.262,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Burnley FC54c2,691$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.92425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7469…cbc5backed Leeds United FC48c2,440$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.831145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Leeds United FC46c2,391$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.322125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Burnley FC53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0607959.5%47 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x89ec…ed41backed Burnley FC52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Leeds United FC46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.9940953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Burnley FC53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.986550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Burnley FC54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Leeds United FC46c1,800$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97013554.8%74 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Burnley FC53c1,750$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.515255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Burnley FC54c1,571$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.563661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed Burnley FC48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Burnley FC43c1,344$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.7696645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Leeds United FC46c1,304$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.357436.5%27 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Burnley FC53c1,300$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68917062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Burnley FC53c1,300$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68914459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Burnley FC54c1,133$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.74656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Leeds United FC47c1,111$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.8332158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Burnley FC53c1,100$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5838756.3%49 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked Leeds United FC57c1,074$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.961241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Burnley FC53c1,049$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.1785048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Burnley FC54c1,000$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.88065%52 W · 28 L+10.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Burnley FC52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5206743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Leeds United FC47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53026651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Burnley FC53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53012157%69 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Burnley FC55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.994860.4%29 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Burnley FC53c840.93$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.8341850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Burnley FC53c800$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42412757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Burnley FC53c800$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42413855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Leeds United FC47c772.55$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.455358.5%31 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Leeds United FC48c708.33$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.3311229.5%33 W · 79 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Leeds United FC47c703.06$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.6226444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Burnley FC3c652.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6382763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Burnley FC3c646.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.415044%22 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Burnley FC37c538.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b24…4247backed Leeds United FC47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.914557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Burnley FC53c509.43$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27017959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Burnley FC53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26514658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Burnley FC53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26513858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Burnley FC53c451.04$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.0518156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Burnley FC53c450$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.514355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Leeds United FC45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.446737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Leeds United FC45c442.28$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2431250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Leeds United FC47c430$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.95238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70c4…cd4abacked Burnley FC49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Burnley FC53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21214354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Burnley FC53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21210960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked Burnley FC54c398.74$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.322650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed Leeds United FC55c392$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.41741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Burnley FC53c390.57$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.1935941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe705…f910backed Leeds United FC47c383.09$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Leeds United FC45c350.93$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.013672.2%26 W · 10 L+10.9wins+0.30per pick42cpaid+99.7%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Burnley FC55c345.09$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.41,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Leeds United FC47c334$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.021947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb93b…454bbacked Leeds United FC47c319.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.64259.5%25 W · 17 L+5.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+36.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Leeds United FC47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1512652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Burnley FC53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15912558.4%73 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Burnley FC53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15910860.2%65 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Burnley FC53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15910558.1%61 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Burnley FC53c289.29$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.3216858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Leeds United FC47c258.18$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.846758.2%39 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Burnley FC52c258.15$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5959247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Burnley FC53c247.68$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.561,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbef6…f2f9backed Burnley FC54c245.81$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.74616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Leeds United FC68c237.19$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.958648.8%42 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf45…c794backed Leeds United FC47c234$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.023246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Leeds United FC52c232.81$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.845543.6%24 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Leeds United FC49c214.94$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7519128.8%55 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick29cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a50…6c6bbacked Leeds United FC48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.338332.5%27 W · 56 L-11.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Burnley FC53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Burnley FC55c182.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008949.4%44 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Leeds United FC47c179.48$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.12757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed Burnley FC55c179.45$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.72661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Burnley FC52c170.68$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7512562.4%78 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7291…3d0fbacked Leeds United FC47c164.26$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.063638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Leeds United FC47c159.56$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.573641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Burnley FC53c157.35$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9754340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Leeds United FC54c156.64$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7616232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.