TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof magic, Team Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$939,530
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,062,417

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $939,530 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1a5c…a375backed magic9c290,938$25,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,071.265238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed magic13c76,123$9,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,895.937363%46 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic15c63,801$9,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,614.165,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed magic13c18,888$2,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,455.4388242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed magic15c16,680$2,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,453.3711633.6%39 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked magic13c13,388$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.311,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2322…45c3backed magic14c10,778$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.9640%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed magic14c10,265$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.110935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed magic14c10,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40023848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6f…959abacked magic14c9,286$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3003363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed magic13c8,347$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.6111434.2%39 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked magic13c7,690$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.721424.8%53 W · 161 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked magic11c7,421$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.85532.7%18 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed magic14c6,569$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.352,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed magic14c6,528$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.592,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed magic14c5,797$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.172,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed magic14c5,679$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79520946.9%98 W · 111 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed magic8c5,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9955236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecee…a577backed magic14c4,639$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.428226.8%22 W · 60 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed magic12c4,427$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.768416.7%14 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed magic14c4,286$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked magic16c4,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64017540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed magic14c4,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56055845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed magic8c3,628$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.711,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed magic15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.992,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed magic11c3,257$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.6732732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked magic14c3,170$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.9666446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed magic14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42013545.9%62 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeee0…f00ebacked magic17c2,984$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed magic14c2,946$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.3897040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked magic14c2,916$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.293452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed magic13c2,890$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.75,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed magic5c2,872$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4618624.2%45 W · 141 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d1…93fdbacked magic14c2,857$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+123%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked magic14c2,693$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37765650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked magic15c2,687$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.344517.8%8 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c3a…eb16backed magic15c2,333$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.443528.6%10 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x526e…84e7backed magic14c2,222$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.35933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98a5…d074backed magic6c2,090$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.149346.2%43 W · 50 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+30.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked magic15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30061228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked magic14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28019346.1%89 W · 104 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed magic14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28048437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked magic14c1,643$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23031451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked magic14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21017853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc9…7552backed magic11c1,500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16516749.1%82 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb533…629fbacked magic9c1,490$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-59.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked magic14c1,450$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.58149.4%40 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…589abacked magic14c1,421$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-65.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed magic14c1,400$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19425145.8%115 W · 136 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x363e…060abacked magic6c1,300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-49.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b9…bdf4backed magic16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006036.7%22 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe361…5ff5backed magic15c1,235$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.24771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+40.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9da9…ec6fbacked magic15c1,163$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.65633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ea3…7c38backed magic14c1,160$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3460%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked magic11c1,147$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.12,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4f6…f51cbacked magic14c1,143$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked magic14c1,136$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.233,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x316b…5d97backed magic14c1,122$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa453…b665backed magic13c1,120$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.769655.2%53 W · 43 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84e5…2303backed magic5c1,076$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.768520%17 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed magic14c1,045$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.172,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked magic10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb28a…56e0backed magic15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked magic13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed magic10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked magic14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14017945.3%81 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked magic13c999.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13031253.5%167 W · 145 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…ab6abacked magic15c954.54$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.241050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed magic15c933.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked magic11c912.97$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.821,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed magic14c900$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12624942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed magic8c899.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.81,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c65…9a3dbacked magic13c840.92$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.537636.8%28 W · 48 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7f…70cdbacked magic7c840.57$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.843225%8 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3914…3db9backed magic13c810$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.52334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed magic12c800.95$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.463043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51b7…2fc7backed magic10c796.27$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7843442.2%183 W · 251 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked magic12c784.5$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1855843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked magic9c765.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9416920.1%34 W · 135 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed magic15c749.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11056738.8%220 W · 347 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7772…0e56backed magic9c741.26$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7110251%52 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed magic15c727.65$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8737855.3%209 W · 169 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8879…b58fbacked magic14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005453.7%29 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77cd…338bbacked magic9c673.33$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.97616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf713…a97bbacked magic15c667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.051520%3 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-63.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2fe…695dbacked magic15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014940.3%60 W · 89 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked magic14c658.41$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.182524%6 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf9f…30b1backed magic14c600$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5978…aec4backed magic9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022938%87 W · 142 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd23f…60d0backed magic16c545.81$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed magic13c540$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.21,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef00…de7fbacked magic14c517.64$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.477737.7%29 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8b7a…afb0backed magic15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512134.7%42 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed magic15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked magic15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7526341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked magic15c500$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7466034.1%225 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x874e…ab32backed magic15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa4…236cbacked magic13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-32.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed magic10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038312.8%49 W · 334 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked magic14c499.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7095642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.