CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3648f72916e45478c2fe55de48783986d63091891f2625cd987329420e6382f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof magic, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $939,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,062,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $939,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a5c…a375backed magic | 9c | 290,938$25,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,071.26 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed magic | 13c | 76,123$9,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,895.93 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic | 15c | 63,801$9,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,614.16 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed magic | 13c | 18,888$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.43 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed magic | 15c | 16,680$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.37 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked magic | 13c | 13,388$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.31 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2322…45c3backed magic | 14c | 10,778$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed magic | 14c | 10,265$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.1 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed magic | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6f…959abacked magic | 14c | 9,286$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed magic | 13c | 8,347$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.61 | 114 | 34.2%39 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked magic | 13c | 7,690$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.7 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked magic | 11c | 7,421$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.8 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed magic | 14c | 6,569$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.35 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed magic | 14c | 6,528$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.59 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed magic | 14c | 5,797$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.17 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed magic | 14c | 5,679$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed magic | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…a577backed magic | 14c | 4,639$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.42 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed magic | 12c | 4,427$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.76 | 84 | 16.7%14 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed magic | 14c | 4,286$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…685abacked magic | 16c | 4,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed magic | 14c | 4,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed magic | 8c | 3,628$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.71 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed magic | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed magic | 11c | 3,257$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.67 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked magic | 14c | 3,170$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.96 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed magic | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…f00ebacked magic | 17c | 2,984$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed magic | 14c | 2,946$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.38 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…4f4bbacked magic | 14c | 2,916$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.29 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed magic | 13c | 2,890$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.7 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed magic | 5c | 2,872$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.46 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…93fdbacked magic | 14c | 2,857$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +123%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked magic | 14c | 2,693$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked magic | 15c | 2,687$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.34 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…eb16backed magic | 15c | 2,333$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.44 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…84e7backed magic | 14c | 2,222$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…d074backed magic | 6c | 2,090$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.14 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked magic | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked magic | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed magic | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked magic | 14c | 1,643$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked magic | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed magic | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb533…629fbacked magic | 9c | 1,490$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked magic | 14c | 1,450$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…589abacked magic | 14c | 1,421$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed magic | 14c | 1,400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…060abacked magic | 6c | 1,300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b9…bdf4backed magic | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…5ff5backed magic | 15c | 1,235$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…ec6fbacked magic | 15c | 1,163$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea3…7c38backed magic | 14c | 1,160$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked magic | 11c | 1,147$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f6…f51cbacked magic | 14c | 1,143$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked magic | 14c | 1,136$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.23 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316b…5d97backed magic | 14c | 1,122$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa453…b665backed magic | 13c | 1,120$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.76 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed magic | 5c | 1,076$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 85 | 20%17 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed magic | 14c | 1,045$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.17 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked magic | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…56e0backed magic | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked magic | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed magic | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked magic | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked magic | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…ab6abacked magic | 15c | 954.54$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed magic | 15c | 933.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked magic | 11c | 912.97$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed magic | 14c | 900$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed magic | 8c | 899.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…9a3dbacked magic | 13c | 840.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.53 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…70cdbacked magic | 7c | 840.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…3db9backed magic | 13c | 810$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed magic | 12c | 800.95$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.46 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed magic | 10c | 796.27$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked magic | 12c | 784.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.18 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked magic | 9c | 765.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed magic | 15c | 749.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed magic | 9c | 741.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed magic | 15c | 727.65$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.87 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8879…b58fbacked magic | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77cd…338bbacked magic | 9c | 673.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…a97bbacked magic | 15c | 667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked magic | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked magic | 14c | 658.41$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.18 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9f…30b1backed magic | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…aec4backed magic | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 229 | 38%87 W · 142 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…60d0backed magic | 16c | 545.81$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed magic | 13c | 540$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef00…de7fbacked magic | 14c | 517.64$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.47 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…afb0backed magic | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed magic | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked magic | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 263 | 41.1%108 W · 155 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked magic | 15c | 500$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…ab32backed magic | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa4…236cbacked magic | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed magic | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked magic | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.