CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x723a2b0c0a054b868b541f845ecfa51b08e62621a52edbce275c4d5ab3550924

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Team Falconsof magic, Team Falcons
Resolved: May 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $119,534
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $132,764

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,534 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked magic	17c	25,000$4,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,249.99	756	52.6%398 W · 358 L	+27.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed magic	18c	7,512$1,352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,351.98	2,066	41.5%858 W · 1,208 L	-49.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked magic	16c	7,500$1,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,175.73	162	45.1%73 W · 89 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked magic	16c	4,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.99	752	45.5%342 W · 410 L	-21.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed magic	0c	3,569$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.65	324	25.3%82 W · 242 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked magic	10c	3,000$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.46	612	28.9%177 W · 435 L	-9.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed magic	17c	2,998$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.73	461	49.9%230 W · 231 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed magic	17c	2,886$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.45	645	52.9%341 W · 304 L	+27.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed magic	13c	2,638$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.35	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x823d…189dbacked magic	18c	2,500$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	+36.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf424…9723backed magic	5c	2,403$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.19	211	35.5%75 W · 136 L	-6.9wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed magic	16c	1,924$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.81	232	43.5%101 W · 131 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed magic	18c	1,500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	202	49%99 W · 103 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Falcons	80c	1,460$1,168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.05	2,214	47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed magic	15c	1,394$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.46	327	32.4%106 W · 221 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed magic	6c	1,255$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.6	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed magic	18c	1,088$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.82	67	16.4%11 W · 56 L	-8.1wins	-0.12per pick	28cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed magic	17c	1,055$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.43	105	51.4%54 W · 51 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed magic	17c	1,013$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.14	227	40.5%92 W · 135 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2efa…8a01backed magic	5c	999.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed magic	10c	947$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.7	388	35.6%138 W · 250 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed magic	9c	888$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.92	173	45.7%79 W · 94 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3bc…2f60backed magic	19c	750$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.5	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked magic	5c	674.08$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	401	48.4%194 W · 207 L	-14.5wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked magic	19c	636.23$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	1,623	44.9%728 W · 895 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc104…5faabacked magic	10c	578.2$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.82	80	20%16 W · 64 L	-7.5wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed magic	6c	562.87$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.22	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bcd…2051backed magic	17c	559.71$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.15	67	49.3%33 W · 34 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed magic	17c	556$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.52	239	49%117 W · 122 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ac…2f1ebacked magic	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	277	51.6%143 W · 134 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed magic	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	417	16.5%69 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd528…a2d2backed Team Falcons	79c	500$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	180	56.7%102 W · 78 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed magic	16c	499.99$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	287	38%109 W · 178 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked magic	16c	457.2$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.56	119	52.1%62 W · 57 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked magic	7c	450$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	215	19.1%41 W · 174 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked magic	13c	393.02$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.71	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x210d…a04bbacked magic	15c	300$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x911f…5ed0backed magic	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	199	39.2%78 W · 121 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x85ab…4dc5backed magic	16c	287.5$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	132	41.7%55 W · 77 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb238…4961backed magic	16c	249.99$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	131	42%55 W · 76 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked magic	7c	249.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	312	53.5%167 W · 145 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc086…8128backed magic	12c	243.18$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.1	147	48.3%71 W · 76 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked magic	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	2,622	47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L	-33.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked magic	6c	199.97$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	132	52.3%69 W · 63 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e24…ec07backed magic	9c	199.95$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x89ff…a8f2backed magic	19c	194.74$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	112	43.8%49 W · 63 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked magic	15c	188.12$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.36	1,650	32.7%540 W · 1,110 L	-49.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dae…a48ebacked magic	16c	179.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb548…57d8backed magic	7c	156.18$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.19	39	20.5%8 W · 31 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed magic	15c	149.99$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.2	1,485	58%862 W · 623 L	+66.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Team Falcons	80c	140$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	302	59.3%179 W · 123 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed magic	16c	124.94$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	2,326	45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4985…dce4backed magic	17c	111.76$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	135	45.9%62 W · 73 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49bc…540cbacked magic	15c	110.53$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.58	47	27.7%13 W · 34 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd2d…25e7backed magic	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Falcons	80c	105$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	395	48.6%192 W · 203 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked magic	17c	86.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.67	558	43.5%243 W · 315 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked magic	19c	84.21$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	236	46.2%109 W · 127 L	-11.4wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6219…72dabacked magic	20c	62.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6347…3047backed magic	18c	59.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	181	45.9%83 W · 98 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b6…b953backed Team Falcons	80c	35.25$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.05	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-6.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana PlayoffsTeam Falcons won
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)Team Falcons won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event