TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,362
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,533

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,362 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c20,496$6,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,826.186,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over55c9,000$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,05013852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under29c7,123$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,090.832,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over77c3,897$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.313360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over77c2,365$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.211,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3060…c709backed Over77c1,948$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.051181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick74cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a9a…c308backed Over58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.142373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34560728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.716753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under32c1,267$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.194,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over77c1,266$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.1830143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c1,118$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.442,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over55c999.56$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.826548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under24c937.5$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over70c900$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2683868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0068…1b85backed Over57c861.77$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.562556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under23c721.11$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.882,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over67c678$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.3843241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc7…d23bbacked Over77c650.62$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over77c650.21$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.5515263.2%96 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over77c613.82$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.74271.4%30 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick72cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over70c547.74$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.4611430.7%35 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac53…821fbacked Over79c545.9$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.712470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49a1…41cbbacked Over77c519.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.48875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over71c509.31$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3117161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Over65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1759756.7%55 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12027748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under22c499.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11037342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under23c499.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11552454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe182…f87fbacked Over70c498.74$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.741060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b5…3f5ebacked Over61c461.4$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.331573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Over77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.614035%14 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid+37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6081…f0f2backed Over77c336.68$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.442958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over76c327.31$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.319067.8%61 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.58746%40 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Over58c312.07$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.071533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-38.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Over60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1208134.6%28 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x981f…8993backed Under33c299.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6538…0a4dbacked Under25c284.24$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.061735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over65c265.28$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.854858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over77c250$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.530059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under23c241$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4372249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over65c220.93$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.214463.6%28 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over69c205$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5524158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4615060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6481…b1bfbacked Over77c194.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.811266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.410252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x639d…4777backed Over77c155.7$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.811457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x492f…bc51backed Over75c153.99$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.51566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8511053.6%59 W · 51 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under47c153.62$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9621049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa21f…adddbacked Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.525945.8%27 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…4391backed Over77c141.56$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Over75c119.98$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.017855.1%43 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Over72c117.57$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.574247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under23c115.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.131,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a07…ce91backed Over60c113.57$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.431421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2345751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2259645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1835…83afbacked Over56c98.21$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.219246.7%43 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over57c95.27$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9714845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over61c90.23$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.196462.5%40 W · 24 L+10.8wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+44.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Under37c87.84$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.53132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0899…876abacked Under24c78.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.139641.7%40 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under31c75.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7342658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over67c74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.426753.7%36 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over77c72.13$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.597659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb239…80b4backed Over75c68.31$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.082176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51d2…1462backed Over60c67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.83145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd628…a698backed Over75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over65c64.62$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6211839.8%47 W · 71 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a2f…c1ebbacked Over78c60.01$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under23c57.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.571,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5718444.6%82 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0291…cf1bbacked Over77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.95450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbcf…47ddbacked Over78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132867.9%19 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under29c48.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.149627.1%26 W · 70 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under21c47.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0854128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…5712backed Over77c47.7$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.971770.6%12 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick76cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7279…a05cbacked Over67c45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.852245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6410361.2%63 W · 40 L+9.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Under24c42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0841040.5%166 W · 244 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c06…dd56backed Over74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.45158.8%30 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba7e…ae58backed Over77c37.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.52862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa146…b61cbacked Over77c36.66$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over79c35.76$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5115866.5%105 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Under45c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6511557.4%66 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x001a…dbb5backed Over77c34.48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over78c32.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0525057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x713d…15d0backed Over77c31.13$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.161450%7 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc996…1af1backed Over73c31.02$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfef3…41f2backed Over57c31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Under40c30.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.348463.1%53 W · 31 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xabe8…56d3backed Over56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Over66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.26168.9%42 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.661441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Over78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.64942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.