CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs K27 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aa1c6faf3a67988c557540866cd53490442d44ea8ddfe225b2bd2ce6197e3e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of Team Nemesis, K27
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 11,996$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,879.65 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked K27 | 66c | 11,566$7,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.81 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1c9fbacked Team Nemesis | 10c | 2,797$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed Team Nemesis | 19c | 1,700$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.31 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked K27 | 61c | 1,386$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.41 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Team Nemesis | 18c | 1,206$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked K27 | 59c | 1,118$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.62 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed K27 | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked K27 | 66c | 908$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.73 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 369.05$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed K27 | 59c | 278.91$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.35 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked K27 | 73c | 246.58$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis | 29c | 246.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Nemesis | 10c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked K27 | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 87 | 70.1%61 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Nemesis | 17c | 118.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed K27 | 56c | 78.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed K27 | 79c | 63.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 313 | 72.8%228 W · 85 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…159abacked K27 | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Team Nemesis | 20c | 52.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Team Nemesis | 42c | 39.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed K27 | 73c | 26.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -9.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs K27 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs K27 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier PlayoffsK27 won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs K27 - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)K27 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.