CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs K27 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22d8f95bc01edc617fb594288e316e2a83be0d0a926f01849202ee7d4d730bb6

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: K27of Team Nemesis, K27
Resolved: Feb 10, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $30,083
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,129

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,083 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb7f5…c669backed Team Nemesis	32c	3,879$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250.39	670	41.8%280 W · 390 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed K27	80c	2,070$1,654 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.97	126	51.6%65 W · 61 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02af…a5adbacked K27	60c	1,700$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$680	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Nemesis	30c	999.99$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.1	245	38.4%94 W · 151 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked K27	70c	850.02$595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.87	1,040	44%458 W · 582 L	-22.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Team Nemesis	40c	720.01$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285	1,623	44.9%728 W · 895 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed K27	59c	701$411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.96	849	58.3%495 W · 354 L	+60.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Team Nemesis	38c	690.38$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.34	500	43%215 W · 285 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked K27	66c	640.76$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.64	3,096	48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L	+135.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis	19c	498.58$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.61	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Team Nemesis	18c	461.64$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.04	172	30.8%53 W · 119 L	-9.7wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed Team Nemesis	35c	441.51$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	367	42.8%157 W · 210 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed Team Nemesis	40c	440.47$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.19	342	35.4%121 W · 221 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked K27	61c	350$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.8	355	50.1%178 W · 177 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked K27	69c	343$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.37	497	45.9%228 W · 269 L	-10.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Nemesis	22c	328.69$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.02	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x494c…8923backed K27	62c	322.58$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.58	123	51.2%63 W · 60 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Team Nemesis	36c	312$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.73	296	47.6%141 W · 155 L	-13.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Team Nemesis	18c	300$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed K27	59c	298$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.18	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6183…575fbacked Team Nemesis	35c	283.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked K27	59c	280$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.8	482	42.1%203 W · 279 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed K27	60c	250$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	503	40.2%202 W · 301 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed K27	67c	241.75$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.8	258	45.7%118 W · 140 L	-18.3wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Nemesis	21c	240.66$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.97	698	63%440 W · 258 L	+65.3wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Team Nemesis	41c	239.99$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.4	452	44.5%201 W · 251 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed K27	62c	236$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.27	1,547	33.9%524 W · 1,023 L	-73.4wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Nemesis	30c	176.87$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.03	1,500	9.9%148 W · 1,352 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Team Nemesis	40c	172.65$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.31	1,378	45.2%623 W · 755 L	+17.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed K27	69c	172.3$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.54	68	27.9%19 W · 49 L	-5.7wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-33%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x919e…ed36backed Team Nemesis	31c	123.32$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.79	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Team Nemesis	42c	119.13$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked K27	70c	118.02$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.62	329	30.4%100 W · 229 L	-21.9wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked K27	62c	114$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.32	1,157	48.2%558 W · 599 L	+3.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1896…0f63backed Team Nemesis	41c	100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa772…ae85backed K27	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Team Nemesis	27c	91.07$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.54	609	54%329 W · 280 L	+12.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7791…03f7backed Team Nemesis	20c	83.16$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.03	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a41…145fbacked K27	74c	81.45$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.45	95	54.7%52 W · 43 L	-5.8wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed K27	70c	78.45$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.84	77	49.4%38 W · 39 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Team Nemesis	34c	75.48$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.32	543	48.6%264 W · 279 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed K27	62c	68.46$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.06	125	45.6%57 W · 68 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Nemesis	39c	67.2$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.21	1,281	37.8%484 W · 797 L	+5.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…8be8backed K27	78c	66.23$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.65	410	54.6%224 W · 186 L	+29.4wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked K27	49c	63.31$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.29	335	39.4%132 W · 203 L	-19.1wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed K27	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.23	1,033	61.6%636 W · 397 L	+87.2wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1487…d443backed K27	62c	49$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.62	69	44.9%31 W · 38 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972c…c2e2backed K27	62c	48.39$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.39	69	50.7%35 W · 34 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed K27	60c	46.67$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.67	736	58.2%428 W · 308 L	-22.8wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Team Nemesis	41c	44.88$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.43	596	47.3%282 W · 314 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93cf…29d1backed K27	59c	44.56$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.27	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Team Nemesis	27c	44.31$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.14	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Team Nemesis	34c	42.41$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	2,102	16.8%353 W · 1,749 L	-286.5wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked K27	72c	42$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.8	601	47.4%285 W · 316 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb55…159abacked K27	60c	41.67$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.67	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+4.1wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43e6…ac47backed Team Nemesis	40c	34$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79f…6e74backed K27	60c	32$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd92…1be3backed K27	59c	31$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.56	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d79…a4e0backed K27	67c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.9	40	60%24 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x944b…34e8backed K27	60c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1850…4e9ebacked Team Nemesis	49c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.18per pick	48cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Team Nemesis	39c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	163	45.4%74 W · 89 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed89…e68ebacked K27	60c	26$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52e4…7d32backed K27	58c	25.86$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.86	48	62.5%30 W · 18 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb36f…b75cbacked K27	70c	20.29$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.09	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec48…d04cbacked K27	59c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	110	51.8%57 W · 53 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f56…6884backed K27	59c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.1	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+68.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…d6c3backed K27	60c	19$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…ad1ebacked K27	60c	19$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.6	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca0a…4cfcbacked K27	60c	19$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x69e2…48a0backed K27	60c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	64cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd6…abd6backed K27	60c	18$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	61cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecd8…1282backed K27	59c	17$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.97	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	70cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85a0…25debacked K27	60c	17$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs K27 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsthis page
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs K27 - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs K27 - Map 2 WinnerK27 won
Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)K27 won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs K27 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event