CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeecdd558858bb9ba3bc8350cabc283859fc4860b2adf5d121e791f9b44ae4d93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof Alliance, Johnny Speeds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Johnny Speeds | 1c | 4,235$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Johnny Speeds | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.98 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Johnny Speeds | 5c | 2,985$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.06 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a3…9a3bbacked Alliance | 60c | 1,333$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Johnny Speeds | 5c | 1,017$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Johnny Speeds | 35c | 918.45$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.34 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…c09bbacked Alliance | 60c | 780$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Alliance | 60c | 750$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Alliance | 64c | 559$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.3 | 296 | 47.6%141 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Alliance | 59c | 541.04$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.29 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Johnny Speeds | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 342 | 35.4%121 W · 221 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Johnny Speeds | 10c | 473.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Johnny Speeds | 40c | 432.98$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.19 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Johnny Speeds | 35c | 382.72$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.69 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Alliance | 59c | 366.66$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.66 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Johnny Speeds | 20c | 317.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…2c2bbacked Alliance | 59c | 307$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Alliance | 77c | 255.84$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Johnny Speeds | 11c | 255.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Alliance | 62c | 246.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.48 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Alliance | 68c | 240.57$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…a69abacked Johnny Speeds | 26c | 220$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Alliance | 58c | 218.73$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.87 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Johnny Speeds | 42c | 218.38$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e7…1335backed Johnny Speeds | 41c | 216$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…1905backed Johnny Speeds | 40c | 216$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a7…1384backed Alliance | 60c | 215$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d92…8910backed Alliance | 60c | 214$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b0…b1c0backed Alliance | 59c | 209$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1750…8ffabacked Alliance | 60c | 208$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…543bbacked Johnny Speeds | 40c | 207$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fd…99c2backed Johnny Speeds | 41c | 207$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…d197backed Johnny Speeds | 40c | 204$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…5235backed Alliance | 60c | 204$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3db…615ebacked Johnny Speeds | 40c | 203$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…99c7backed Alliance | 60c | 203$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…62c7backed Alliance | 60c | 201$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0790…dcedbacked Johnny Speeds | 40c | 201$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5d…404fbacked Johnny Speeds | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfd…8c88backed Alliance | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Johnny Speeds | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Johnny Speeds | 40c | 199.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alliance | 75c | 186.51$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Johnny Speeds | 39c | 153.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…8afbbacked Alliance | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Johnny Speeds | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Johnny Speeds | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Johnny Speeds | 16c | 91.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Alliance | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Johnny Speeds | 17c | 82.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd37…b3a7backed Johnny Speeds | 20c | 80.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da7…f04bbacked Johnny Speeds | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…97e4backed Johnny Speeds | 20c | 57.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Johnny Speeds | 34c | 53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Johnny Speeds | 34c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Johnny Speeds | 41c | 51.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Alliance | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Alliance | 61c | 46.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Alliance | 67c | 43.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Johnny Speeds | 34c | 39.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…7618backed Alliance | 65c | 38.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…c2e2backed Alliance | 68c | 36.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…a4e0backed Alliance | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc00c…ddc2backed Alliance | 69c | 29.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 66cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x285d…f500backed Alliance | 78c | 28.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…159abacked Alliance | 60c | 28.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Alliance | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…7d32backed Alliance | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.