Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-02-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80b7ca890cccfddecc5f1e8f736c88158ad5945ae723fe631adc2535dd31d9b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 45c | 4,146$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.84 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 73c | 2,465$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.37 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 57c | 2,360$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.8 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 45c | 2,058$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.57 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.25per pick | 36cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 2c | 547.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 55c | 458.44$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.99 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…4eaebacked Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5560…8b5bbacked No | 44c | 235$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…f747backed Yes | 56c | 230$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…004abacked Yes | 56c | 225$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe429…e39ebacked No | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 55c | 210.6$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.77 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 57c | 114.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 53c | 113.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 55c | 108$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 57c | 100.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 44c | 59.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 44c | 49.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Yes | 53c | 42.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 55c | 35.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 55c | 34.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 30.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…159abacked Yes | 45c | 24.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked No | 51c | 23.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-02-08?this page
- Will FC Nordsjælland vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold end in a draw?No won
- Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2026-02-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.