TailMyPicks
Market

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,670
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,878

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,670 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No51c9,811$4,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,817.341,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Yes30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Yes61c2,995$1,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,826.67520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No39c1,912$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.9187344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No68c1,505$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.348649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes36c1,250$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.355328.3%15 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No70c1,027$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.1424052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x714a…9dacbacked Yes61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-63.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes32c539.99$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.81711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-67.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No40c522.67$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.2535037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab4c…2a53backed Yes61c519.97$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.1840%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No48c408.16$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.851,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes59c406.78$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes55c394.4$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.9211725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes36c365$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.616242%68 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes53c351.78$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.216518.5%12 W · 53 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Yes60c331.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Yes5c297.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.871650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Yes60c290.95$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1752347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes60c280.62$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.792853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Yes4c271.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.272429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes59c250$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.51258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb0…4488backed Yes61c244.14$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes40c240$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes61c229.67$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc64…fc2bbacked Yes61c226.23$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc419…5bb5backed No68c221.43$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.43850%4 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Yes45c218$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.12236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No50c205.76$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8159348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7732…8d82backed Yes60c184.75$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008060%48 W · 32 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe86…9b6bbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc2a…d0a4backed Yes60c165.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab9b…3483backed Yes61c164.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes60c160$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969355.9%52 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf680…2c59backed Yes63c159.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No40c156.9$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4223151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes35c155.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6311044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes59c150$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.53852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c47…7fdfbacked Yes61c147$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Yes54c128.62$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.081464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed No39c127.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Yes16c121.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+96.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed No41c115$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes32c115$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.552352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No39c113.1$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9910545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffe…3f31backed Yes58c104.51$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Yes61c101.64$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked No39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed No40c95$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes24c93.92$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.55050%25 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc67b…dc73backed Yes54c92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes60c87.37$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.456762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked No46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Yes57c84.74$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.36553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9e…10bebacked Yes60c83.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504847.9%23 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed Yes62c81.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed No40c72$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+55.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aba…81a3backed Yes49c71.91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No39c67.43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0446450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a6…be36backed Yes28c59.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Yes62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb55…159abacked Yes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972c…c2e2backed Yes59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9af9…89bcbacked Yes59c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked No40c39.98$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.982520%5 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9d9…6febbacked Yes59c36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c3…5789backed Yes56c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…bcfcbacked Yes60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes60c33.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefa3…e52bbacked Yes61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd4b…3568backed Yes61c32.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed No40c31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6437…60b5backed Yes55c28.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62f0…afe6backed Yes60c28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc149…bb7abacked No58c27.59$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed No40c26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick44cpaid+131.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No39c26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8622927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e62…fd00backed Yes59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x240f…0062backed No40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e3…0ca1backed Yes60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b39…bc92backed Yes61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked Yes59c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes61c22.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147540%30 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb81f…a4f8backed Yes61c21.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbfc…5cfabacked Yes62c21.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe09c…f300backed No67c21.37$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.05683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+53%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb75…bc16backed Yes60c21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedad…ed92backed No63c20.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.63887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick71cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3b3…27babacked Yes60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06b1…614cbacked Yes60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89fe…4293backed Yes60c19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…c6ecbacked Yes60c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b5f…b453backed Yes60c17.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e57…41f0backed Yes60c17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.