Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87a1afe3d393f8a2916121509710d446fb3a771260669c86d7b11b2a6047e94e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $468,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $477,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $468,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 46c | 371,164$171,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200,077.95 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 54c | 98,761$53,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,330.67 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 53c | 78,616$41,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,886.69 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 54c | 52,990$28,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,723.69 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 54c | 43,500$23,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,339.98 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 40,416$21,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,621.84 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 21,215$9,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,421.8 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 55c | 12,161$6,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,666.74 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 54c | 11,111$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.94 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 54c | 10,777$5,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,819.41 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 56c | 9,057$5,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,041.17 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 53c | 8,983$4,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,761.2 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 55c | 7,269$4,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.76 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 56c | 6,171$3,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,455.64 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Under | 55c | 4,800$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 3,396$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.81 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Under | 57c | 3,003$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f08…65d2backed Over | 59c | 2,456$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Under | 54c | 2,174$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 54c | 1,511$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.99 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 47c | 1,021$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 54c | 974.06$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.39 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 54c | 664$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.56 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over | 44c | 540$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 39c | 524.91$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.37 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Under | 58c | 505.17$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.86 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -8.5wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 54c | 450.31$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.1 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 47c | 438.91$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.51 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…70a9backed Over | 45c | 380.76$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 42c | 374.89$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.69 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…dff2backed Over | 62c | 357.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 62c | 355.54$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 41c | 334.15$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Under | 54c | 269.72$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 56c | 267.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…127cbacked Over | 45c | 260$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 10c | 210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…9652backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 62c | 175.64$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.62 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Over | 44c | 169$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Under | 18c | 164.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Under | 41c | 159.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 47c | 148.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.92 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 74c | 135.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 54c | 135$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…9f62backed Under | 55c | 119.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 34c | 115.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 54c | 115$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 44c | 113.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 54c | 112$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…d04fbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f61…4e52backed Over | 46c | 108.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…78d8backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 80c | 105.83$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 55c | 102.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec18…8eb4backed Over | 47c | 102.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 54c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 57c | 85.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58b…cba8backed Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 46c | 82.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Under | 54c | 79.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 64c | 78.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 55c | 78.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 61c | 77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 76.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…3e65backed Over | 44c | 74.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…8e64backed Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed Under | 57c | 70.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…2fa7backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Over | 44c | 61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 36c | 59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Under | 58c | 56.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…f5f5backed Under | 47c | 56.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 55c | 56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.