Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-02-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc73806740ababc2ccfdf46e70b94efe9ff2a6dd3fa045d9aba47fb87e9e9271b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 38c | 2,760$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.63 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 61c | 2,475$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.78 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 64c | 1,901$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.82 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed No | 40c | 1,627$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.8 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 60c | 1,617$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.8 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…7207backed Yes | 4c | 1,400$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +146.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Yes | 57c | 1,117$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 10c | 993.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.24 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 12c | 837.26$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.59 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 30c | 600$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked No | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed No | 65c | 458.77$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4742…afe1backed Yes | 34c | 442.7$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +197.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 60c | 426.23$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.56 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 40c | 423.33$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.33 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 39c | 417.69$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.34 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 40c | 336.47$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.59 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed No | 68c | 284.21$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 58c | 258$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 44c | 222.69$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 54c | 221.14$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 37c | 214.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.88 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 62c | 209.08$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.08 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 38c | 200.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 154.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked Yes | 61c | 150$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…c2e2backed Yes | 57c | 139.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 59c | 112.32$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 33c | 110$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…606ebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +284.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…bb01backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…c018backed Yes | 61c | 81.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…159abacked Yes | 46c | 77.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a0…3e10backed Yes | 36c | 71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +175.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 18c | 65.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 40c | 59.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 43c | 55.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 39c | 49.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked No | 69c | 48.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 31c | 47.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 43c | 43.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 39c | 42.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes | 60c | 40.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 44c | 35.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ea…3b34backed Yes | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 44c | 33.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x657e…9fa5backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…e9f7backed Yes | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…57eebacked Yes | 58c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 61c | 18.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf1…2957backed Yes | 61c | 16.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-02-06?this page
- Will Aarhus GF vs. Odense BK end in a draw?No won
- Will Odense BK win on 2026-02-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.