TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Allianceof Alliance, OG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$355,927
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$380,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,927 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked OG63c113,099$71,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,241.6339249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Alliance37c85,350$31,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,770.7421051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d8b…260abacked Alliance47c37,036$17,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,719.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked OG41c20,227$8,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,347.927133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed OG43c15,644$6,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,658.2667041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Alliance60c10,494$6,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,249.293,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked Alliance53c9,572$5,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,485.7312736.2%46 W · 81 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Alliance39c8,537$3,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,207.914951%25 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Alliance37c6,322$2,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,988.6998052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Alliance37c5,946$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,745.9420539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Alliance30c5,092$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,556.7719645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Alliance50c4,301$2,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,136.846,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed OG48c3,951$1,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,897.461,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb328…4df1backed Alliance41c3,700$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,182.972755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Alliance37c3,521$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,222.284958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked OG62c3,377$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.0315441.6%64 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Alliance74c3,210$2,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.961,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d2…cc46backed Alliance40c3,087$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,853.121850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1355…6591backed Alliance37c3,033$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.792045%9 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed OG59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7702437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed OG59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.9760853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked Alliance39c2,807$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.35455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Alliance59c2,715$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.64731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked OG40c2,594$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.3659839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed OG63c2,549$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.4517249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb045…7633backed OG62c2,402$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.06425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed OG58c2,355$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.2446843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2020…7e22backed Alliance43c2,309$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.561457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+32.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed OG57c1,722$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.3846344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed OG59c1,571$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.852619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick27cpaid+31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked OG38c1,527$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.8227452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Alliance38c1,498$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.3116240.1%65 W · 97 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked OG64c1,325$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.451,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed OG52c1,255$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.527935.4%28 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x699f…c3a9backed Alliance42c1,251$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.833652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked OG57c1,250$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.716848.5%33 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed OG75c1,222$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.9952456.3%295 W · 229 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Alliance38c1,212$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.5652636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Alliance36c1,166$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.4250833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed OG72c1,109$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.358961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Alliance66c1,053$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.1723852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed OG52c1,050$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.387929.1%23 W · 56 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed OG50c1,036$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.417240.7%70 W · 102 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf24e…080dbacked OG49c1,025$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed OG37c1,003$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.8213144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed OG60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60050043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed OG60c1,000$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59518752.4%98 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed OG60c937$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.224846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed OG48c900.45$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.892,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Alliance38c892$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.0483652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Alliance50c885.44$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.014146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Alliance68c853.63$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.8627348.4%132 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ab…0fe6backed OG60c851.51$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.913253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab6…ee04backed Alliance72c844.62$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.162955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked OG32c834.56$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.0613633.1%45 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked OG57c825$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.2948948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed OG62c802.26$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Alliance50c801.36$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.6545956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2733…ac38backed OG58c798.63$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.896830.9%21 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31c1…bc19backed Alliance68c757.66$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.5515962.9%100 W · 59 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Alliance43c737$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4185,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked OG60c736.07$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44411646.6%54 W · 62 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Alliance46c732.18$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.920440.7%83 W · 121 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Alliance56c727.96$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.227736.4%28 W · 49 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Alliance57c708.47$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.6413546.7%63 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked OG54c696.57$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.1516355.8%91 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked Alliance37c676.02$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.892157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Alliance37c676.02$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.895040%20 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed Alliance37c676.02$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.893754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed Alliance37c676.02$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.892352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed Alliance37c676.02$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.891963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+36.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed Alliance37c676.02$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.892766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+40.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x523c…5348backed Alliance37c676.02$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.891127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb0c…9fe7backed Alliance75c636.88$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.59475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked OG53c634.6$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.8132930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked OG58c632.02$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.5724538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Alliance43c586.51$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.936134.4%21 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed OG40c583.42$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.8369863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked OG55c560$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.9933459%197 W · 137 L+24.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x69a6…4b30backed Alliance37c540$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.21181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.33per pick49cpaid+71.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance48c519.51$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.511,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed Alliance40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30034235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed OG26c496.58$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3413246.2%61 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked OG54c490.61$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.8361754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Alliance50c484.32$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.072,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dfa…63d5backed OG58c450$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Alliance46c435.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.643534.3%12 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x640b…ec00backed Alliance54c430.22$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.91833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked OG57c429.99$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.6960147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc19b…a935backed Alliance37c423.63$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.66837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd305…4e8bbacked Alliance70c399.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Alliance37c393.08$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.648436.9%31 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked OG67c387.89$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Alliance40c376.63$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.9816750.9%85 W · 82 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Alliance48c376.19$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.351,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5bc1…9932backed OG55c365.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007054.3%38 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d89…d5a6backed OG73c358.19$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked OG50c354.84$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.5216146%74 W · 87 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked OG59c339.49$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.313540.7%55 W · 80 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf587…f3e0backed OG49c339.36$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.871250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.