TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
EDward Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, EDward Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,120
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,183

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,120 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee8e…0a7bbacked EDward Gaming57c2,120$1,208 inWon+$911.6778162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Bilibili Gaming44c2,069$901 inLost-$90128541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb877…a13fbacked Bilibili Gaming9c1,032$92 inLost-$91.5624732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed EDward Gaming52c400$210 inWon+$1906672.7%48 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed EDward Gaming62c338.8$210 inWon+$129.174452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b16…9f80backed Bilibili Gaming56c300$168 inLost-$16818460.9%112 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed EDward Gaming56c295.45$165 inWon+$13034356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ed…063bbacked Bilibili Gaming44c295.45$130 inLost-$130520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Bilibili Gaming33c230.53$76 inLost-$76.461,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Bilibili Gaming17c160.31$27 inLost-$26.9827411.3%31 W · 243 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Bilibili Gaming50c145.6$73 inLost-$72.866438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bilibili Gaming43c137.59$59 inLost-$58.791,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Bilibili Gaming51c116.14$60 inLost-$59.631634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bilibili Gaming51c102.71$52 inLost-$52.161,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b5…7b0bbacked Bilibili Gaming37c87.99$33 inLost-$32.562123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.20per pick44cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked EDward Gaming65c76.85$50 inWon+$26.851662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked EDward Gaming63c70.49$44 inWon+$26.3142051.9%218 W · 202 L-21.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed EDward Gaming63c60.86$38 inWon+$22.5211152.3%58 W · 53 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked EDward Gaming35c60.85$21 inWon+$39.5511854.2%64 W · 54 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a51…f1b7backed Bilibili Gaming56c53.57$30 inLost-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked EDward Gaming58c51.42$30 inWon+$21.4251948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed EDward Gaming45c40.33$18 inWon+$22.3318056.7%102 W · 78 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked EDward Gaming62c32.26$20 inWon+$12.261181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick54cpaid+51.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb5ae…8a36backed Bilibili Gaming32c31.25$10 inLost-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff6a…881cbacked Bilibili Gaming50c20$10 inLost-$104854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.