Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5cbafac143d6349f32fb081c106a3885bac0ae4148a6e795ee1ea9cb14186c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EDward Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, EDward Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7100…b346backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 998$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked EDward Gaming | 47c | 880.02$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.77 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 699.98$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.99 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed EDward Gaming | 50c | 642.94$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.47 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked EDward Gaming | 54c | 282.56$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.08 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed EDward Gaming | 57c | 175.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 41c | 145.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed EDward Gaming | 45c | 131.67$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed EDward Gaming | 52c | 128.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 117.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…5100backed EDward Gaming | 57c | 113.63$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Bilibili Gaming | 70c | 93.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed EDward Gaming | 51c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed Bilibili Gaming | 23c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…f879backed Bilibili Gaming | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed EDward Gaming | 56c | 35.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…7350backed EDward Gaming | 56c | 34.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked EDward Gaming | 45c | 33.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff6a…881cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Kickoff PlayoffsEDward Gaming won
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 4 WinnerEDward Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.