TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,725
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,759

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,725 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd12c…f2d4backed Over52c58,297$30,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,418.481947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c21,339$10,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,106.289,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over0c10,300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1367921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under48c10,241$4,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,325.321,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ef…8b91backed Over52c9,977$5,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,187.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe917…4bdfbacked Under48c9,593$4,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,984.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d0f…e601backed Over52c8,830$4,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,591.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under48c8,683$4,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,515.353,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under48c7,960$3,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,152.3129347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under47c6,643$3,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,520.838251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under48c6,142$2,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,193.8422648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Over53c5,899$3,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,126.218451.2%43 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over53c5,660$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00012855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Over52c5,414$2,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,815.2813946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c4,732$2,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,486.856,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…4f4ebacked Under47c4,515$2,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,392.89757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.6738750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.9979549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over52c2,967$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.674,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under49c2,586$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.0551354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c2,190$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.224,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04054246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.9957950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over50c1,940$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.0632653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over45c1,206$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.1340243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Under48c1,072$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.2238046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under48c1,030$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.671547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over53c1,025$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.4851146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under48c1,020$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.842,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over51c1,017$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.1226034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50020651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c935.58$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.683,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over43c798.99$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.888,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d0…b4c6backed Over52c769$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over52c631.92$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.63,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31849345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over57c527.51$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over15c464.66$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.511,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under47c430$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.91,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Under48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6710351.5%53 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21616148.4%78 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2123366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c397.55$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.712,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c340.51$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.645,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under48c301.46$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.7629352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9931…ea8cbacked Under57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1292944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under63c291.72$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1888057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Under52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4656352%293 W · 270 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over52c269.23$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under48c258$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.161,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed Under49c219$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6912642.1%53 W · 73 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under47c210.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5566046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c203.04$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.551,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8dd…93a1backed Under47c202.13$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.13450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10024946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9015543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c166.49$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.942,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Over53c150.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8017758.2%103 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.51,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under49c140.57$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.341,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under47c140$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.238242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.233949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under47c113.4$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.162541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over37c113.15$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.393,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1712152.1%63 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed Under72c104.17$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.173764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under48c104.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.162,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under67c101.69$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.523,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under50c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under48c97.02$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4535843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaed4…4cc9backed Under48c72.92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.929439.4%37 W · 57 L-9.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under45c72.57$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.591,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Under48c69.48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1317960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Under47c63.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5121637.5%81 W · 135 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Over26c62.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1410623.6%25 W · 81 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked Over53c55.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.456735.8%24 W · 43 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x11a4…bba6backed Over52c55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.650%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e01…2699backed Under49c53.06$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.065444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under48c52.12$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.168645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…3a2abacked Over52c47.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.943342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8215347.1%72 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdab9…cdfcbacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205437%20 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd194…24b8backed Over52c36.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0310653.8%57 W · 49 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8318…8b62backed Under48c36.59$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.031050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under54c32.52$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.813,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6111848.3%57 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Under49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.337549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b1…fc8abacked Over54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.24353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under48c29.52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.352,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20e0…3a5fbacked Over53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd3…bd7fbacked Over53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156966.7%46 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Over43c28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1439055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over45c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2766646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under47c26.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.81,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x909d…82c6backed Over53c23.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.344257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.