CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: illwill vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2156fe9f777966f7a841305ff92faaff32700b590269ebeae41b81d97f79acac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- illwillof illwill, BC.Game Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed BC.Game Esports | 58c | 4,445$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.95 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked illwill | 53c | 3,682$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.9 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe1…4fe7backed BC.Game Esports | 53c | 3,232$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed illwill | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.98 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked illwill | 43c | 1,874$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.18 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked illwill | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed BC.Game Esports | 34c | 943.5$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.96 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked illwill | 74c | 863.39$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.35 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed BC.Game Esports | 25c | 857.29$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.92 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked BC.Game Esports | 55c | 822.58$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.47 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed illwill | 45c | 808.17$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.96 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked illwill | 54c | 672.96$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.29 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed BC.Game Esports | 56c | 651.75$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed BC.Game Esports | 30c | 571.64$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.8 | 303 | 35.6%108 W · 195 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed illwill | 72c | 557.07$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.07 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked illwill | 71c | 520.11$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.27 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed illwill | 44c | 519.25$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.56 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed illwill | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed illwill | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked BC.Game Esports | 55c | 475.9$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.75 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed BC.Game Esports | 52c | 436.81$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.57 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed illwill | 37c | 411.38$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.17 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed BC.Game Esports | 18c | 399.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed illwill | 48c | 370$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.4 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed BC.Game Esports | 34c | 354.97$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.09 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed BC.Game Esports | 40c | 323.93$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed illwill | 64c | 318$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…80bcbacked BC.Game Esports | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed BC.Game Esports | 54c | 299.98$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed BC.Game Esports | 54c | 278.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.29 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked illwill | 54c | 257.39$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.75 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed illwill | 66c | 237.93$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BC.Game Esports | 24c | 224.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…fb0fbacked BC.Game Esports | 45c | 216.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x986a…f294backed BC.Game Esports | 47c | 210.19$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…c217backed illwill | 53c | 210$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed BC.Game Esports | 37c | 208.11$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed BC.Game Esports | 48c | 205$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed illwill | 68c | 193.97$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…9a6ebacked BC.Game Esports | 35c | 184$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed BC.Game Esports | 47c | 181.92$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed BC.Game Esports | 43c | 172.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.56 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0136…6e7bbacked illwill | 74c | 167.25$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed illwill | 69c | 154.26$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2414…f34ebacked BC.Game Esports | 40c | 144.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed illwill | 67c | 138.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked illwill | 43c | 138.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.83 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked BC.Game Esports | 32c | 130.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed BC.Game Esports | 55c | 128.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b14…2d9bbacked illwill | 43c | 116.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed illwill | 71c | 101.66$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed BC.Game Esports | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…f786backed BC.Game Esports | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 131 | 19.8%26 W · 105 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed BC.Game Esports | 23c | 93.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed BC.Game Esports | 52c | 90.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked BC.Game Esports | 39c | 84.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d8…e34fbacked BC.Game Esports | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked BC.Game Esports | 34c | 76.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed illwill | 79c | 74.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed illwill | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed BC.Game Esports | 33c | 69.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed BC.Game Esports | 41c | 69.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 228 | 44.3%101 W · 127 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…8535backed illwill | 61c | 67.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…3398backed illwill | 57c | 66.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85b1…b332backed BC.Game Esports | 41c | 65.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x210e…d188backed BC.Game Esports | 63c | 63.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked BC.Game Esports | 55c | 63.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0762…30e7backed BC.Game Esports | 36c | 62.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 180 | 42.2%76 W · 104 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed illwill | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed BC.Game Esports | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked BC.Game Esports | 33c | 59.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed illwill | 69c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed illwill | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked BC.Game Esports | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5934…f960backed BC.Game Esports | 38c | 47.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed illwill | 74c | 44.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3efe…2ed8backed illwill | 66c | 40.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked illwill | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed BC.Game Esports | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…2a21backed illwill | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked illwill | 59c | 38.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…9aadbacked BC.Game Esports | 47c | 35.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked illwill | 64c | 34.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…528abacked illwill | 54c | 34.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed BC.Game Esports | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed BC.Game Esports | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d22…040cbacked BC.Game Esports | 55c | 26.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…5910backed illwill | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e9…a9eebacked illwill | 62c | 19.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked illwill | 69c | 14.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winnerillwill won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.