TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: illwill vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
illwillof illwill, BC.Game Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,645 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb525…bdc7backed BC.Game Esports58c4,445$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,560.9525845.7%118 W · 140 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked illwill53c3,682$1,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,718.93,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fe1…4fe7backed BC.Game Esports53c3,232$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,713.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed illwill45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.9884958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked illwill43c1,874$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.187,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked illwill42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58027530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed BC.Game Esports34c943.5$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.9646843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked illwill74c863.39$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.351,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed BC.Game Esports25c857.29$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.9256732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked BC.Game Esports55c822.58$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.4713053.8%70 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed illwill45c808.17$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.9650340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked illwill54c672.96$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.2936245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f9b…71f8backed BC.Game Esports56c651.75$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3637345.2%33 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed BC.Game Esports30c571.64$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.830335.6%108 W · 195 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed illwill72c557.07$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.076953.6%37 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca82…fcfebacked illwill71c520.11$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.2714971.8%107 W · 42 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d1…f540backed illwill44c519.25$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.5617849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed illwill43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28510546.7%49 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed illwill69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15539245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked BC.Game Esports55c475.9$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.7532352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed BC.Game Esports52c436.81$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.5720942.1%88 W · 121 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed illwill37c411.38$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.171,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed BC.Game Esports18c399.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7018943.4%82 W · 107 L-0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed illwill48c370$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.45,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed BC.Game Esports34c354.97$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.091,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed BC.Game Esports40c323.93$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13096545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed illwill64c318$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.385446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe792…80bcbacked BC.Game Esports63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003050%15 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed BC.Game Esports54c299.98$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9913453%71 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed BC.Game Esports54c278.31$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.293141.9%13 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked illwill54c257.39$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.755,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa57e…ed54backed illwill66c237.93$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.566741.8%28 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked BC.Game Esports24c224.72$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.723,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9e6…fb0fbacked BC.Game Esports45c216.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.069129.7%27 W · 64 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x986a…f294backed BC.Game Esports47c210.19$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.793040%12 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c74…c217backed illwill53c210$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.73240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed BC.Game Esports37c208.11$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7743933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed BC.Game Esports48c205$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.767651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed illwill68c193.97$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1860853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x602a…9a6ebacked BC.Game Esports35c184$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.46841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed BC.Game Esports47c181.92$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.519549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed BC.Game Esports43c172.75$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5645244.5%201 W · 251 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0136…6e7bbacked illwill74c167.25$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed illwill69c154.26$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.494,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2414…f34ebacked BC.Game Esports40c144.09$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.412846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed illwill67c138.99$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4793261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked illwill43c138.83$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8371951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked BC.Game Esports32c130.06$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.621,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed BC.Game Esports55c128.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7059049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b14…2d9bbacked illwill43c116.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.435453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed illwill71c101.66$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6552755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed BC.Game Esports33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3337448.4%181 W · 193 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cfb…f786backed BC.Game Esports51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5113119.8%26 W · 105 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed BC.Game Esports23c93.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.61,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb3e…9120backed BC.Game Esports52c90.38$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4714641.1%60 W · 86 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked BC.Game Esports39c84.62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3314233.8%48 W · 94 L-18.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-32.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe8d8…e34fbacked BC.Game Esports30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked BC.Game Esports34c76.63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3849242.1%207 W · 285 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c8c…2359backed illwill79c74.62$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.779351.6%48 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed illwill53c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.932845.1%148 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed BC.Game Esports33c69.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.242,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xca29…a1d0backed BC.Game Esports41c69.15$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.422844.3%101 W · 127 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf09c…8535backed illwill61c67.67$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.642962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd243…3398backed illwill57c66.25$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2510730.8%33 W · 74 L-12.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-27.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x85b1…b332backed BC.Game Esports41c65.76$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x210e…d188backed BC.Game Esports63c63.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.182272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked BC.Game Esports55c63.68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3560857.2%348 W · 260 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0762…30e7backed BC.Game Esports36c62.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8818042.2%76 W · 104 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed illwill46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.41,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed BC.Game Esports32c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.19940.4%40 W · 59 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked BC.Game Esports33c59.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.524425%11 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed illwill69c56$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3639239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b7…2fc7backed illwill46c55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.743442.2%183 W · 251 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked BC.Game Esports50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2591648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5934…f960backed BC.Game Esports38c47.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed illwill74c44.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.556,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3efe…2ed8backed illwill66c40.22$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.842766.7%18 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked illwill40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2495642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedaa…89b4backed BC.Game Esports48c39.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1924535.9%88 W · 157 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a38…2a21backed illwill77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.963759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd61…ebbdbacked illwill59c38.01$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.51729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-53.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x694d…9aadbacked BC.Game Esports47c35.92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.96425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7cd…e98dbacked illwill64c34.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.443778.4%29 W · 8 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7274…528abacked illwill54c34.82$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.913100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5700…a854backed BC.Game Esports45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511650%58 W · 58 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1512…68f3backed BC.Game Esports45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.529153.6%156 W · 135 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d22…040cbacked BC.Game Esports55c26.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed illwill58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.362860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e9…a9eebacked illwill62c19.41$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked illwill69c14.88$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6133057.3%189 W · 141 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.