CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: illwill vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7eefb52e7b8472d17fd96f32c28efc7f725e8ca47de748c2c7fe4ae04a4c394f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- illwillof illwill, BC.Game Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BC.Game Esports | 64c | 12,207$7,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,768.29 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed illwill | 38c | 8,016$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,971.1 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed illwill | 43c | 2,993$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.66 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed illwill | 26c | 2,799$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.27 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked illwill | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BC.Game Esports | 75c | 1,397$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.14 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…c1fdbacked BC.Game Esports | 77c | 1,307$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed BC.Game Esports | 65c | 1,092$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.87 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked BC.Game Esports | 29c | 649.38$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed BC.Game Esports | 44c | 600$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked illwill | 34c | 593.35$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.35 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BC.Game Esports | 64c | 521.66$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.74 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked illwill | 46c | 441.5$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.5 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe1…4fe7backed BC.Game Esports | 67c | 431.49$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc53d…52b3backed illwill | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed illwill | 32c | 351.6$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.48 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked BC.Game Esports | 52c | 281.13$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.02 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed illwill | 33c | 257.54$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.35 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked BC.Game Esports | 60c | 203.09$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed BC.Game Esports | 71c | 110.48$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52cd…8430backed illwill | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed BC.Game Esports | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…2872backed illwill | 53c | 94.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed illwill | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed BC.Game Esports | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3849…00d8backed illwill | 27c | 70$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked BC.Game Esports | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…c016backed BC.Game Esports | 65c | 61.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked illwill | 24c | 60.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed BC.Game Esports | 48c | 52.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b3…2a0bbacked illwill | 51c | 51.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…d384backed illwill | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed BC.Game Esports | 50c | 46.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5563…1303backed BC.Game Esports | 65c | 43.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked BC.Game Esports | 75c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked BC.Game Esports | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked BC.Game Esports | 61c | 32.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…16c7backed illwill | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BC.Game Esports | 74c | 30.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed illwill | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked BC.Game Esports | 73c | 24.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsillwill won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.