CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x582decb0b44390544c46301d4572f2c5aecab596bbdb722700a55be2afef44af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof MOUZ, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc68d…2fe8backed PARIVISION | 65c | 1,800$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.09 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 35c | 1,546$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.11 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked MOUZ | 32c | 1,184$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…9728backed PARIVISION | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed MOUZ | 32c | 751.18$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.38 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked PARIVISION | 68c | 494.06$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.1 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed MOUZ | 32c | 367$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.44 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed PARIVISION | 68c | 359.54$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.05 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked PARIVISION | 68c | 308.22$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked PARIVISION | 68c | 161.76$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed MOUZ | 30c | 160.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed MOUZ | 30c | 148.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed PARIVISION | 69c | 144.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed PARIVISION | 70c | 142.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked MOUZ | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x173d…8091backed MOUZ | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MOUZ | 31c | 89.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked PARIVISION | 68c | 80.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed PARIVISION | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed PARIVISION | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 235 | 57.4%135 W · 100 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked MOUZ | 30c | 50.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210e…d188backed PARIVISION | 70c | 50.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed PARIVISION | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked PARIVISION | 69c | 45.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…48e0backed MOUZ | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ | 31c | 39.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f51…1a83backed PARIVISION | 68c | 35.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…365dbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.