Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bf5554bdba418716c23deed0280a2fa72b40f404ec8219f5920854eaa7837de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $971,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,146,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $971,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 587 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Aurora | 34c | 75,000$25,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,505.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 45,490$20,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,705.88 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 56c | 42,805$24,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,661.71 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 41,803$27,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,590.28 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 40,548$27,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,981.98 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 34,631$15,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,266.41 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Aurora | 57c | 21,424$12,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,123.8 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Aurora | 40c | 20,115$7,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,145.51 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…7287backed Tundra Esports | 0c | 19,880$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Aurora | 30c | 18,347$5,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,842.82 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora | 45c | 16,591$7,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,171.1 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 32c | 16,112$5,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,978.28 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Tundra Esports | 42c | 15,803$6,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,656.48 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Aurora | 57c | 15,204$8,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,501.99 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 13,523$6,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,004.75 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 11,111$4,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,870.04 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c68…0df1backed Aurora | 39c | 10,117$3,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,175.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Aurora | 57c | 9,989$5,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,295.22 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Aurora | 40c | 9,936$4,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,920.49 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 9,844$6,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,454.3 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 9,600$4,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,223.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tundra Esports | 42c | 9,427$3,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,980.43 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Aurora | 59c | 9,079$5,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,691.06 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Aurora | 34c | 8,719$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,714.16 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 8,422$3,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,585.59 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Aurora | 56c | 8,143$4,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,592.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 8,125$3,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,493.75 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Aurora | 33c | 7,500$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,024.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Tundra Esports | 42c | 7,414$3,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.85 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 7,000$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.99 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563b…774bbacked Aurora | 58c | 6,664$3,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.73 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Aurora | 56c | 6,300$3,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…9135backed Tundra Esports | 1c | 6,120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Aurora | 59c | 6,044$3,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.42 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Aurora | 62c | 5,925$3,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.02 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Aurora | 46c | 5,823$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,159.37 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Aurora | 31c | 5,385$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,706.5 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x149b…0ca8backed Tundra Esports | 3c | 5,194$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.09 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 5,003$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.19 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Aurora | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Aurora | 47c | 4,376$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.67 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Aurora | 37c | 4,357$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.82 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 4,344$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.57 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 4,200$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 4,000$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.23 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…adc7backed Tundra Esports | 33c | 3,968$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.14 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Aurora | 54c | 3,822$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.12 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 3,647$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.09 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Aurora | 58c | 3,447$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…9137backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 3,433$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Aurora | 50c | 3,286$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.79 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Aurora | 54c | 3,195$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.43 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Aurora | 58c | 3,128$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Aurora | 13c | 3,083$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.13 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7440…04d0backed Tundra Esports | 2c | 3,047$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…fe4abacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 2,772$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.25 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 2,748$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.45 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Aurora | 41c | 2,712$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.61 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Aurora | 32c | 2,703$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.32 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e92…4a13backed Aurora | 58c | 2,576$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Aurora | 24c | 2,311$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.41 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 27c | 2,256$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.65 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…9562backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 2,249$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 2,186$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.32 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 2,158$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 2,116$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.92 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 26c | 2,106$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdede…92d0backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 2,093$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.9 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Tundra Esports | 79c | 2,074$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.7 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Aurora | 43c | 1,940$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.97 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,924$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.68 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Aurora | 58c | 1,906$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.31 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aurora | 37c | 1,858$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.47 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Aurora | 47c | 1,745$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.4 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Aurora | 58c | 1,729$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.76 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Aurora | 58c | 1,728$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.03 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596b…c1ecbacked Tundra Esports | 42c | 1,728$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806d…f8c7backed Aurora | 46c | 1,728$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Aurora | 58c | 1,714$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.88 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Aurora | 54c | 1,670$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.87 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Aurora | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…be68backed Aurora | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.99 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Aurora | 40c | 1,483$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.72 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 1,464$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.72 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Aurora | 56c | 1,456$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.5 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4111…c9c6backed Aurora | 29c | 1,455$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 1,440$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.52 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 1,425$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Aurora | 53c | 1,422$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.76 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f72…adc6backed Aurora | 55c | 1,410$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.41 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…abcfbacked Aurora | 57c | 1,352$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…fc83backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 1,350$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.5 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…99dcbacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 1,341$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2this page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Tundra Esports (+1.5)Tundra Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.