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NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$226,262
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$227,159

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,262 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over49c170,169$83,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,531.6987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under51c100,000$51,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,00024650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under51c31,250$15,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,312.551844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c14,060$6,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,115.819,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under51c8,714$4,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,269.8415147%71 W · 80 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over53c8,382$4,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,477.712,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over53c7,183$3,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,806.991,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Under51c4,703$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,304.4719445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under51c3,333$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.1714753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Under51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47022055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under52c2,885$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.6241649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under51c2,305$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.4942648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Under47c2,107$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.5617241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c2,035$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.644,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00048957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80064651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under45c1,487$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.112,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c1,406$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.813,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c1,386$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.024,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c868$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.288,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under49c858.02$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.0248546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3349246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39284342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c659.06$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.233,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c576.64$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.024,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under45c512$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.66,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24549345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Over53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2657648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under53c483.02$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.0247651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under48c356$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3654443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Over53c330.19$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under50c309.45$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.621,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15922845.2%103 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under47c260$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.845646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed Under48c229$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.0812642.1%53 W · 73 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over47c199.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9984150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d34…05d8backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002532%8 W · 17 L-5.3wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-41.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over49c160.24$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.522,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over51c147$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.341,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under47c130$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.956547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over54c125.46$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.651,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under47c106.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.372,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over49c102.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dc1…36bbbacked Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.047848.7%38 W · 40 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under51c100.46$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.232,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4643544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5232346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba3…8cb2backed Over53c94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.289758.8%57 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6dd…3ab9backed Over49c80.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402763%17 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Under51c80.43$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4120847.1%98 W · 110 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4025752.5%135 W · 122 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Over53c75.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023453%124 W · 110 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc0…3acebacked Over54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019848.5%96 W · 102 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb640…9ebcbacked Over49c71.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1140%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under45c60.51$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.281,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Over51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022756.8%129 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa30…c7abbacked Under47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1911448.2%55 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under47c47.47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.161,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Over53c46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4312841.4%53 W · 75 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under46c43.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.332,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under46c40.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9314533.1%48 W · 97 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3c2…63f7backed Over49c40.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.971338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc981…a53dbacked Under54c37.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.382548%12 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84c1…140abacked Over49c37.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.48520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc208…e74fbacked Over49c36.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.797251.4%37 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over52c29.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5157657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x742c…e779backed Under52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.851361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over49c28.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.761,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x135c…0c80backed Over53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf095…111bbacked Over54c27.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9411250.9%57 W · 55 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Over49c25.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.536350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under47c24.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1476552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce5d…5081backed Under51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.84050%20 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaa1…b0fbbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014053.6%75 W · 65 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Over54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.819346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c6e…a573backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.