NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-18.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64f5e95fbcb267d2d3b9144ddb451e49a6b4d32fad178ccda5978829aff092b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nets | 54c | 53,737$29,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,155.15 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Thunder | 46c | 28,500$13,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,485 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Thunder | 39c | 27,555$10,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,936.73 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nets | 54c | 24,547$13,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,141.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Thunder | 46c | 19,040$8,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,281.6 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Thunder | 47c | 7,659$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,059.22 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Nets | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 67c | 5,947$3,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,976.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Thunder | 47c | 4,750$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.5 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Thunder | 47c | 4,600$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Thunder | 48c | 2,777$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.04 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Nets | 55c | 2,647$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.85 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Thunder | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Thunder | 47c | 1,900$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 47c | 1,854$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.12 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Nets | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Thunder | 45c | 1,665$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.75 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,407$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.73 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,301$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.54 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nets | 54c | 1,201$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.98 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nets | 55c | 1,134$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.58 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Thunder | 46c | 1,080$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.47 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Nets | 5c | 1,032$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nets | 55c | 810.89$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.99 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets | 54c | 774.07$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.8 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…c2c4backed Nets | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.75 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 45c | 555.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.63 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Thunder | 47c | 540$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.2 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 51c | 511$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.39 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Nets | 54c | 499.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Nets | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Thunder | 41c | 340.27$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.53 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Nets | 53c | 259.2$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.38 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 23c | 257.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.2 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Thunder | 46c | 254.35$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.35 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Thunder | 46c | 251.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.07 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Nets | 62c | 231.08$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.84 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Nets | 69c | 230$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.18 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…1da8backed Nets | 56c | 228.55$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Thunder | 39c | 224.16$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.78 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Thunder | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Nets | 59c | 210.89$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.41 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Nets | 55c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa207…8461backed Nets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Nets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nets | 67c | 176.81$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.84 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Thunder | 46c | 172.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder | 45c | 164.72$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.6 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Nets | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…111bbacked Thunder | 46c | 140$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Thunder | 45c | 130$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Nets | 55c | 130$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nets | 45c | 126.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Nets | 66c | 120.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Nets | 56c | 117.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Nets | 56c | 114.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Thunder | 47c | 109.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Thunder | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Nets | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed Nets | 64c | 93.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Nets | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Thunder | 45c | 86.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Nets | 54c | 86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Thunder | 36c | 84.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 111 | 28.8%32 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Nets | 56c | 84.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Nets | 53c | 81.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Nets | 55c | 80.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Nets | 60c | 77.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nets | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Nets | 54c | 70.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fed…a1f9backed Thunder | 47c | 65.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 42c | 61.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Nets | 55c | 61.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…836dbacked Nets | 60c | 60.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…7ddebacked Nets | 56c | 58.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Nets | 55c | 51.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Thunder | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Nets | 55c | 49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Thunder | 45c | 48.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc08e…45e7backed Thunder | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…5c7fbacked Thunder | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Thunder | 46c | 43.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder | 47c | 42.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…eed0backed Thunder | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…5e4bbacked Thunder | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Thunder | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nets | 60c | 39.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Thunder | 45c | 39.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e29…31c9backed Nets | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16a…1e3cbacked Nets | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Thunder | 46c | 35.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Nets | 67c | 34.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Thunder | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Nets | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Nets | 79c | 28.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6625…9da5backed Nets | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Thunder | 46c | 26.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…ce93backed Nets | 76c | 26.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Nets | 54c | 25.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 47c | 24.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Thunder won
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Nets vs. ThunderThunder won
- Nets vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Under won
- Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Under won
- Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Under won
- Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Under won
- Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Under won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.