NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd39399fe14d8bbc620116694c2627a91ed062b729512bdc2baf1f272fc0521af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Thunder | 47c | 31,474$14,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,681.02 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Nets | 53c | 23,655$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Nets | 52c | 23,430$12,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,169.3 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nets | 50c | 15,625$7,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,812.64 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Nets | 52c | 13,970$7,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,264.37 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Thunder | 48c | 11,475$5,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,963.8 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Nets | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.84 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Thunder | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.33 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Thunder | 49c | 7,814$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,014.19 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Thunder | 49c | 7,583$3,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,891.92 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Thunder | 48c | 7,414$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,844.1 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Thunder | 50c | 7,327$3,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,669.88 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nets | 50c | 7,290$3,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,620.73 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Thunder | 52c | 6,207$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.79 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nets | 51c | 6,119$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,115.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Thunder | 50c | 5,576$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,788 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nets | 52c | 5,388$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.14 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Thunder | 49c | 5,263$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.23 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…722ebacked Thunder | 48c | 5,260$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.34 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Thunder | 49c | 5,246$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,674.94 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Thunder | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Nets | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Nets | 52c | 3,423$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.96 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Thunder | 48c | 3,120$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.4 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Nets | 53c | 3,038$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.14 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 48c | 2,827$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.21 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Thunder | 48c | 2,750$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Thunder | 50c | 2,693$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.5 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Nets | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets | 51c | 1,901$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.76 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Nets | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets | 49c | 1,363$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.38 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Thunder | 48c | 1,338$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.52 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Nets | 52c | 1,334$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.72 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Nets | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc857…9e70backed Nets | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Thunder | 48c | 824.79$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.89 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Nets | 53c | 685.79$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.47 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 48c | 660.51$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.7 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff1…49cebacked Thunder | 49c | 640.82$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.82 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nets | 50c | 639.33$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.84 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Thunder | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Thunder | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Thunder | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nets | 52c | 407$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.29 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab9…cdfcbacked Nets | 53c | 405.66$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…8885backed Nets | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Thunder | 53c | 329.85$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.73 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Nets | 53c | 324.79$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb314…aacbbacked Nets | 53c | 312.72$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Thunder | 54c | 307.96$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.96 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Nets | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder | 48c | 281.56$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.11 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Thunder | 47c | 270.27$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.24 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Nets | 51c | 250$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.34 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder | 48c | 243.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.79 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Thunder | 48c | 236.77$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Nets | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Nets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Nets | 53c | 198.63$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Nets | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Thunder | 41c | 183.55$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.28 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Thunder | 59c | 170.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Nets | 51c | 162.93$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Thunder | 45c | 155.4$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.64 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Nets | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nets | 49c | 139.74$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Nets | 52c | 137.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Thunder | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Nets | 50c | 116.74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 47c | 105$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…374cbacked Thunder | 48c | 103.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…7909backed Thunder | 50c | 101.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Nets | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Nets | 51c | 98.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Nets | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Nets | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Thunder | 48c | 92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nets | 41c | 82.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Nets | 50c | 81.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Nets | 61c | 77.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nets | 46c | 76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ca…7f97backed Thunder | 48c | 70.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Nets | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Nets | 53c | 63.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…c029backed Thunder | 48c | 54.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Nets | 50c | 53.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Thunder | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Thunder | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nets | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Nets | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Nets | 52c | 49.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets | 62c | 49.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Nets | 52c | 48.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Thunder | 49c | 48.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Thunder | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…6aa3backed Nets | 58c | 46.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Nets | 67c | 46.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nets | 45c | 42.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Thunder | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Thunder won
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Nets vs. ThunderThunder won
- Nets vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Under won
- Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Under won
- Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Under won
- Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Under won
- Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Under won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.