NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7fd46ed3f05811cfcf9978c865815bf8b6480232c1bd8289b7ff910fecac634
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Nets | 49c | 40,000$19,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,642.29 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Nets | 49c | 38,093$18,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,846.21 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Thunder | 51c | 24,494$12,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,124.11 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Thunder | 51c | 17,470$8,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,560.3 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 51c | 17,305$8,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,409.49 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Nets | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 51c | 11,880$6,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,863.63 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Thunder | 51c | 11,355$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,604.93 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Nets | 49c | 11,261$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Thunder | 52c | 9,656$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,656.21 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Thunder | 51c | 8,627$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.45 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Nets | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Nets | 46c | 6,523$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.41 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Thunder | 52c | 5,746$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.88 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Thunder | 50c | 5,200$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.8 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Nets | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 52c | 4,943$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.48 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Thunder | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Nets | 50c | 3,756$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.86 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Nets | 50c | 3,191$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.74 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Thunder | 52c | 3,000$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.97 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Thunder | 52c | 2,909$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.75 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 49c | 2,500$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.5 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Thunder | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Thunder | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets | 49c | 1,939$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.64 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Nets | 52c | 1,924$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 52c | 1,553$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.38 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Thunder | 54c | 1,319$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.74 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Nets | 48c | 1,307$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.86 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Nets | 50c | 1,271$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.87 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Nets | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Thunder | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Thunder | 53c | 999.89$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.95 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…8885backed Nets | 50c | 964.4$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 51c | 959$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.75 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab9…cdfcbacked Nets | 51c | 926.37$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 50c | 834.18$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.42 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Nets | 44c | 795$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.8 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 45c | 757.81$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.42 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Nets | 48c | 620.4$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.62 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 50c | 577.45$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.99 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder | 50c | 517.04$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Nets | 50c | 434.24$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Nets | 11c | 418.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Nets | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Thunder | 57c | 360$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Thunder | 51c | 309.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Nets | 48c | 306.36$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.28 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nets | 48c | 264.67$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.3 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Thunder | 6c | 250$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xb314…aacbbacked Nets | 51c | 248.42$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.65 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder | 46c | 245.33$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.48 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Nets | 50c | 242.87$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.44 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5307…e986backed Nets | 50c | 222.67$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Nets | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f4…7753backed Nets | 51c | 203.82$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Thunder | 49c | 190.36$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…05d8backed Thunder | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Thunder | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Thunder | 49c | 172.75$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Thunder | 47c | 164$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Thunder | 52c | 159.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nets | 45c | 155$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Thunder | 48c | 149.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Nets | 49c | 142.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Thunder | 54c | 131.94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Thunder | 54c | 128.52$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.12 | 179 | 60.9%109 W · 70 L | +17.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Thunder | 54c | 128.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.11 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Nets | 48c | 118$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…b970backed Nets | 50c | 103$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbf…a83fbacked Thunder | 51c | 103$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Thunder | 45c | 102.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Nets | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Nets | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Nets | 62c | 92.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder | 53c | 85.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Thunder | 53c | 82.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Nets | 67c | 79.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Nets | 49c | 77.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…0076backed Nets | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x911d…2438backed Thunder | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Nets | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Thunder | 76c | 67.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Nets | 50c | 64.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Nets | 47c | 50.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Nets | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Thunder | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf3…3c57backed Nets | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Nets | 47c | 48.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 42c | 47.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Nets | 48c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Nets | 45c | 42.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…ddcebacked Thunder | 51c | 42.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…0ec7backed Nets | 50c | 42.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Thunder | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Nets | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Nets | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Thunder | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Thunder won
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Nets vs. ThunderThunder won
- Nets vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Under won
- Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Under won
- Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Under won
- Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Under won
- Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Under won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.