Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Tundra Esports (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bfb10e70f9f8a9a0a1e2f7c8dd488238f155c64aa7e3e592000b9826aec531f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Team Spirit, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 15c | 6,997$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.68 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Team Spirit | 1c | 1,936$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Spirit | 61c | 1,650$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.58 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tundra Esports | 79c | 1,388$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.89 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Team Spirit | 67c | 1,092$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.04 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Spirit | 7c | 1,057$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Tundra Esports | 73c | 560$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.38 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Team Spirit | 47c | 429.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 16c | 410.56$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.63 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 381.63$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.63 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team Spirit | 43c | 301.94$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.05 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Spirit | 63c | 284.89$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Spirit | 44c | 228.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Team Spirit | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Team Spirit | 45c | 203.74$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.27 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 52c | 201$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.59 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149b…0ca8backed Team Spirit | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Team Spirit | 29c | 198.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 303 | 51.2%155 W · 148 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a1…5922backed Team Spirit | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 175.74$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 154.82$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 969 | 42.8%415 W · 554 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Team Spirit | 47c | 147$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…d11fbacked Team Spirit | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Team Spirit | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Team Spirit | 25c | 95.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 127 | 20.5%26 W · 101 L | -22.6wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 93.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Team Spirit | 44c | 87.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Team Spirit | 52c | 85.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 84.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4c…444cbacked Tundra Esports | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…5b5bbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 64.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Spirit | 44c | 64.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Team Spirit | 40c | 52.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Team Spirit | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Team Spirit | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f8…6dcebacked Team Spirit | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…18fdbacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 46.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +52%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 42.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93a…8a46backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 36.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…3367backed Team Spirit | 43c | 36.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Spirit | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 497 | 32.2%160 W · 337 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…8427backed Team Spirit | 63c | 31.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Spirit | 41c | 25.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 711 | 42.6%303 W · 408 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ee…f8bebacked Tundra Esports | 80c | 25.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 24.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Team Spirit | 62c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 22.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…2506backed Team Spirit | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 18.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…e779backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 13.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Tundra Esports (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.