Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca6678c26e4506fa47ae21000adb16f4d05b36652639f54dbd1370c60e801f04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Team Spirit, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Spirit | 51c | 19,617$10,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,053.62 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 38c | 7,497$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,614.89 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 6,622$3,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,215.4 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 6,132$3,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.96 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 4,000$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378.8 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 3,875$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.52 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 2,974$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.13 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 2,783$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.59 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Tundra Esports | 32c | 2,701$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.29 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 48c | 2,687$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.89 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 37c | 2,021$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.85 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Spirit | 77c | 1,699$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…886abacked Tundra Esports | 28c | 1,526$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.93 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149b…0ca8backed Team Spirit | 16c | 1,311$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.29 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 1,160$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.61 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Spirit | 38c | 1,149$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.09 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Spirit | 47c | 1,124$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.23 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…adc7backed Team Spirit | 6c | 1,029$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Spirit | 72c | 963.26$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.08 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 54c | 960.51$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 829.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.06 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Team Spirit | 45c | 777.78$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Spirit | 62c | 700$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Team Spirit | 8c | 687.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Tundra Esports | 33c | 664.43$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.53 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Spirit | 69c | 500$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.86 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…156fbacked Tundra Esports | 38c | 473.68$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.68 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 461.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.8 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed Tundra Esports | 24c | 424.23$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.82 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…4210backed Team Spirit | 47c | 423.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.45 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…300bbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 405.35$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ae…c89abacked Team Spirit | 69c | 385.67$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Tundra Esports | 34c | 353.65$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.41 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bd…ed23backed Team Spirit | 39c | 272.33$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.21 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Spirit | 64c | 262.69$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.12 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…2331backed Team Spirit | 45c | 256.82$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 256.72$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.69 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 248.52$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.52 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…12d2backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Spirit | 71c | 220$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.8 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Team Spirit | 50c | 200.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Team Spirit | 64c | 199.63$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.76 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 188.3$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.75 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Team Spirit | 64c | 174.42$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.63 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Tundra Esports | 27c | 174.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.07 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Tundra Esports | 26c | 171.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.07 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Tundra Esports | 31c | 170.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.29 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 169.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.53 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 165.45$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.6 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…fd9dbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 161.18$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 157.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 121$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 118.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Tundra Esports | 12c | 113.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.77 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f5…795bbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Tundra Esports | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 95.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…14eabacked Tundra Esports | 75c | 93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 89.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…63bebacked Team Spirit | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Spirit | 64c | 85.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 79.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Team Spirit | 54c | 78.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…dd82backed Team Spirit | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Spirit | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b5bbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 67.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 240 | 52.1%125 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…1249backed Team Spirit | 51c | 62.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 173 | 60.7%105 W · 68 L | -13.6wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…b7f2backed Team Spirit | 50c | 60.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Team Spirit | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 214 | 65%139 W · 75 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…0799backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 55.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tundra Esports | 25c | 55.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 55.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…6a55backed Team Spirit | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfebc…0194backed Team Spirit | 65c | 48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Tundra Esports | 36c | 47.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 46.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d4…b96cbacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 44.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Tundra Esports | 24c | 43.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Team Spirit | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed Team Spirit | 74c | 35.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Spirit | 56c | 34.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Spirit | 40c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 316 | 59.8%189 W · 127 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 32.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 31.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 508 | 55.5%282 W · 226 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5524…2f3cbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…5b5bbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…1103backed Team Spirit | 40c | 29.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Team Spirit | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Tundra Esports (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group BTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.