Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fc7367e8fda894188d24c4710bf52827e9eb3345d7d99ee7e0450285bcc1a90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Team Spirit, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 25,253$15,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,154.9 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…951cbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 13,259$8,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,451.28 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 41c | 11,214$4,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,580.32 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 10,018$3,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,565.65 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Team Spirit | 40c | 6,753$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707.98 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Spirit | 36c | 5,149$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.94 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 5,101$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.36 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Spirit | 41c | 4,999$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.9 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Team Spirit | 39c | 4,328$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.29 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 31c | 4,321$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.43 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit | 42c | 4,000$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.5 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 3,600$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.9 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Team Spirit | 39c | 2,574$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.17 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 2,292$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc5…197fbacked Tundra Esports | 74c | 2,183$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Team Spirit | 36c | 1,655$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.57 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Spirit | 47c | 1,500$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 37c | 1,143$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.28 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 1,000$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.26 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 990.42$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.05 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Team Spirit | 57c | 902.48$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.26 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…591bbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 792.61$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 768.87$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.87 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 699.99$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 41c | 665.62$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.63 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 604.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.89 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Spirit | 62c | 600$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…4210backed Team Spirit | 47c | 591.78$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.53 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 551.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.74 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Spirit | 38c | 528$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.04 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 527.66$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 534 | 44.4%237 W · 297 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 508.4$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.95 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Spirit | 36c | 503.93$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.04 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Team Spirit | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa257…ea6ebacked Team Spirit | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 436.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.47 | 459 | 40.5%186 W · 273 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Spirit | 56c | 400$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 400$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 385.1$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.13 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…6255backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 361$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.67 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 350$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Spirit | 63c | 312.9$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.14 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Spirit | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Spirit | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit | 24c | 279.17$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149b…0ca8backed Team Spirit | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Team Spirit | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Spirit | 47c | 226.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.25 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 205.12$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.12 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…0799backed Team Spirit | 37c | 202.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.86 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc0…5f47backed Team Spirit | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b5bbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 190.4$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…1a44backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 189.54$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Team Spirit | 45c | 186.27$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.82 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Team Spirit | 32c | 162.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Spirit | 58c | 161.53$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 150$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 376 | 54.8%206 W · 170 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Tundra Esports | 75c | 133.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed Team Spirit | 54c | 124.07$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…dd82backed Team Spirit | 41c | 123.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Team Spirit | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Spirit | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Spirit | 59c | 117.08$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Spirit | 26c | 116.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9db…3999backed Team Spirit | 18c | 108.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 108$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 105.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 104.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Spirit | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 96.28$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 95.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…6c31backed Team Spirit | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…04e9backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 91.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 341 | 52.2%178 W · 163 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 78.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfebc…0194backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Team Spirit | 42c | 60.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 551 | 61.7%340 W · 211 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Spirit | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bd…ed23backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 58.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Spirit | 30c | 56.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07b0…4758backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 55.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf883…b8b4backed Team Spirit | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 187 | 64.7%121 W · 66 L | +17.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 52.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 51.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 594 | 56.7%337 W · 257 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 44.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…9fecbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 42.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Spirit | 50c | 42.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Team Spirit | 42c | 42.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…0eb4backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 34.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Tundra Esports (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group BTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.