TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-02-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$465,078
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$529,910

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $465,078 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 405 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x198f…c419backed No45c55,180$24,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,831.218354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes55c47,727$26,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,396.2748144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No46c39,523$18,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,104.49350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes57c35,015$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,015.452263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes56c18,234$10,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,079.418042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No44c14,908$6,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,554.4768750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed No46c14,149$6,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,508.7430%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes54c13,752$7,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,355.8834643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes64c11,351$7,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,133.1796942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No44c11,200$4,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9282268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+44.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes54c9,722$5,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,440.8298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd303…b09bbacked No45c9,000$4,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,009.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes49c8,692$4,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,402.053036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked No11c7,578$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.079440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No45c7,500$3,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,374.971827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No15c6,185$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.7149850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No45c5,933$2,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,669.8121058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No44c5,340$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.68941.6%37 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No41c5,192$2,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,112.481,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No17c5,007$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.6324238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed Yes56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7603125.8%8 W · 23 L-7.0wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-57%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No41c3,303$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.792,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc893…b19ebacked No46c3,261$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked No46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3801338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3509952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x203b…acd1backed No44c2,958$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.93911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-76.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc16d…39a2backed Yes55c2,747$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.89633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-43%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No44c2,431$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.240549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2733…ac38backed Yes42c2,420$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.63633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No45c2,310$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.54445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed No45c2,216$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes55c2,182$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.8210259.8%61 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No42c2,106$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.7393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes55c2,004$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.646645.5%30 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes55c2,002$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.822343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Yes54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9202161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed Yes55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9003033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9203046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No18c1,996$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.376132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes55c1,882$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.8822348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8adf…b6b1backed No9c1,760$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.41361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No11c1,613$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.38940.4%36 W · 53 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe74a…f1bfbacked Yes55c1,518$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes56c1,500$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6591136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes55c1,484$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.644030%12 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No45c1,331$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59641854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes55c1,292$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.491553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Yes55c1,273$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.732330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes55c1,273$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.737656.6%43 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes56c1,250$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5506142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No14c1,135$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9546742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed No46c1,110$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.62458.3%14 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecec…b65dbacked No46c1,095$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes55c1,055$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.5513946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008444%37 W · 47 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45012657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44010038%38 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3d1…1e5abacked Yes55c981.82$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f6…21bebacked Yes46c969.61$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+39.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes55c942.69$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.2121650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Yes54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.933050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.095341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0910650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No9c900$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815518.2%10 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No45c897.78$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4041650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No43c893$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.9933148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes55c871.33$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No11c844.23$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8823244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes55c817$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.0641943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x826c…b26fbacked Yes55c761.64$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.74475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf823…2b46backed No45c710$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b49…69c1backed Yes55c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3154100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+40%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc690…bd15backed Yes55c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3287…3dc3backed Yes55c670$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae7c…6797backed No45c660$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb700…b06bbacked Yes55c605.45$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.451361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick40cpaid+54.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25812153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2763633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2707749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes55c550.91$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.912650%13 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.454245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a1…75abbacked Yes55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.452556%14 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No4c522.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9216819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x819f…70bcbacked Yes55c522$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-62.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ad…8c85backed No44c510$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.4850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23026040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22512049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.887231.9%23 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes55c482.38$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.073946.2%18 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes55c479$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.5516046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Yes53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06b4…24d8backed Yes54c470$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Yes55c436.36$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.361136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Yes55c422.82$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.27875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Yes55c420.73$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.333754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes54c418$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.284738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47da…d492backed No6c415.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c34…dfafbacked Yes56c407.45$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.28520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-64.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No14c406$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.262630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.