Serie A · resolved market
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-02-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe390a73524b1344022a2c11414d2a78c4384e3d28e8dfd89f38c3b913c2d456f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 19c | 16,796$3,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,182.59 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 7c | 8,321$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.14 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 1c | 7,257$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 17c | 4,219$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.42 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…0ec7backed Yes | 1c | 1,289$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…d175backed Yes | 17c | 873.78$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 17c | 870$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9a…2529backed Yes | 17c | 795.22$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…5657backed Yes | 17c | 630$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0f…5aabbacked Yes | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 16c | 491.15$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 17c | 299.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 21c | 296$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 17c | 247$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 8c | 246.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 18c | 217.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 18c | 180$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…505dbacked Yes | 18c | 177.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 17c | 173.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 16c | 153.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…70bcbacked Yes | 17c | 123.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383c…bb92backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 24c | 63.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-02-20?this page
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?No won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-02-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.