Serie A · resolved market
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fda2ea6709f1306c4a53098c7d1c7efb570be7d2914a40a8bf30079943a5564
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 18,939$13,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,737.8 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 14,918$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.09 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 35c | 9,765$3,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,417.66 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 28c | 2,712$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.36 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…68ecbacked Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 962.49$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.68 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 771.02$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.7 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4e…e462backed Yes | 28c | 613.28$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 29c | 423$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.67 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 25c | 296.05$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 79c | 155.7$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 145.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 72c | 138$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 133.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 76c | 87.22$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 72c | 77.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 31c | 72.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…70bcbacked Yes | 27c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 22c | 65.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 72c | 61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…431fbacked Yes | 28c | 59.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 28c | 58.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6baf…eba7backed Yes | 28c | 58.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Yes | 28c | 57.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b8…c88bbacked Yes | 28c | 56.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 76c | 54.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x937f…b74bbacked No | 69c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec18…8eb4backed Yes | 29c | 48.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 27c | 48.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…616cbacked No | 72c | 45.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Yes | 30c | 43.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…99bebacked Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x771a…1734backed No | 73c | 35.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090e…28babacked No | 73c | 22.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 66c | 22.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9c…8d2ebacked No | 73c | 22.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aef…ccfbbacked No | 73c | 21.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 66c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 95 | 76.8%73 W · 22 L | +20.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbe…33e4backed No | 73c | 18.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…d2b6backed No | 73c | 18.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3768…3984backed No | 73c | 18.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe620…418bbacked No | 73c | 18.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55a4…e52bbacked No | 73c | 17.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64cd…e0d1backed No | 73c | 17.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-02-20?No won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-02-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.