Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a3d8729bb01716f96ce52b6e50309e97c2bf7409d9fc01552780418e2665734
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manchester United FCof Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Manchester United FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 24c | 1,717$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.56 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Manchester United FC | 70c | 1,661$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.44 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa95…6ac7backed Manchester United FC | 72c | 1,400$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 27c | 677.71$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.06 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…f077backed Manchester United FC | 73c | 677.32$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 28c | 630.18$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Manchester United FC | 72c | 549$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.72 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Manchester United FC | 70c | 415.32$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.6 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Manchester United FC | 73c | 275.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ca…219bbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 29c | 241.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Manchester United FC | 73c | 178.08$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c9…748cbacked Manchester United FC | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Manchester United FC | 70c | 118.76$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 28c | 117.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Manchester United FC | 69c | 117$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 30c | 115.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 30c | 112.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Manchester United FC | 69c | 102.21$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Manchester United FC | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…7443backed Manchester United FC | 72c | 80.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 30c | 65.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 584 | 46.1%269 W · 315 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Manchester United FC | 70c | 58.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa228…ec0ebacked Manchester United FC | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Manchester United FC | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 73cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 29c | 53.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 30c | 51.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 31c | 49.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…3612backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 29c | 46.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…c807backed Manchester United FC | 70c | 30.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Manchester United FC | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb429…5f2ebacked Manchester United FC | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Manchester United FC | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25bd…30a1backed Manchester United FC | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x628b…6861backed Manchester United FC | 75c | 15.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Manchester United FC | 70c | 15.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f5…27acbacked Manchester United FC | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)this page
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.