Premier League · resolved market
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24aafec1a2e3c24fe8ee9dc6583f4496b6ded9429d286cfc0c5cf0e88ce008d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 46c | 26,700$12,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,264.61 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 52c | 7,539$3,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,616.07 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 7,514$4,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.22 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe3…5470backed Under | 79c | 7,196$5,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 5,720$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.6 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 55c | 3,701$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 58c | 2,706$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.52 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 54c | 2,112$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.45 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 38c | 1,834$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.32 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Under | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 52c | 1,135$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.85 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 24c | 1,045$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 47c | 1,010$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.06 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 53c | 895.07$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.39 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 76c | 893$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.32 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 40c | 807.55$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.53 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 77c | 645.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.83 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 25c | 572$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +203%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 24c | 564.12$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.39 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 62c | 483.6$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.56 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…2336backed Under | 47c | 404.57$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.57 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 20c | 384$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 20c | 333$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 66c | 309.54$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.13 | 27 | 88.9%24 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 23c | 299.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 36c | 285.86$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.88 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Under | 76c | 261.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 73cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f4…2df9backed Under | 54c | 258.41$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.94 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 68cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 231.41$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.76 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 63c | 194.19$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.27 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…084dbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…ecd5backed Under | 76c | 177.63$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 53c | 170.26$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 51c | 165$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x634f…30a7backed Under | 70c | 155.71$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 21c | 137.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 76c | 133.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb93f…4160backed Under | 76c | 131.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 37c | 131$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3199…2edabacked Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 54c | 121.11$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 13c | 119.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 54c | 110.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 75c | 98.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 75c | 94.87$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 25c | 79.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…b879backed Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 73cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 58c | 49.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 24c | 49.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 23c | 48.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 77c | 45.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…fdb6backed Under | 54c | 38.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 31c | 35.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Under | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…ea2cbacked Under | 76c | 33.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…4239backed Under | 71c | 32.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed Under | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Under | 53c | 28.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed Under | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Under | 54c | 23.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5923…9e92backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.