TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,924

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,968 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x198f…c419backed Over34c19,243$6,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,481.8520545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c18,427$10,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,557.86,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under65c7,867$5,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,788.9777342.8%331 W · 442 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c5,833$2,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,702.494,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over65c5,474$3,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,540.4491435.3%323 W · 591 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under35c2,239$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.992339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-10.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over44c2,199$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.063033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over43c2,011$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.7113630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under39c1,586$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.016058.3%35 W · 25 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+45.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over21c1,222$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.45527.3%15 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.852236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under56c1,084$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.6822049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd54a…f538backed Under57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+62.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under56c951.06$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.471,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over73c921.72$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.3272442.7%309 W · 415 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over44c819.4$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.4359332.9%195 W · 398 L-30.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under38c772.43$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.916139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under56c753.4$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under29c748.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.1359847.7%285 W · 313 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under56c733.22$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.6241850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under56c536.67$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.1474644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Under19c510.53$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.534544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Under53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under36c462.67$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.76633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+62.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd57…73e0backed Under57c442.18$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c425.07$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.611,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Under41c409.76$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.762850%14 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12811828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under56c399.99$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17656051.4%288 W · 272 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…af1bbacked Under57c353.51$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8812652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x36b4…d723backed Over43c350$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.54425%11 W · 33 L-7.2wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-45.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over77c321.88$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.5732049.1%157 W · 163 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over39c299.82$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4716232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Over44c290.91$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1282544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under17c285.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.921,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over62c277.25$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.614055%77 W · 63 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002737%10 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under60c223.02$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.025856.9%33 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under56c222.91$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0869851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008445.2%38 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over10c189$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8213921.6%30 W · 109 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce63…7e73backed Under57c180.7$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdca6…75e9backed Over44c177.27$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.442638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under58c173.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7122242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa041…f9d5backed Under58c163$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.46450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over16c162$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.274330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over56c158.34$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7536545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over62c155.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.620956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under66c155$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.729250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over54c152.39$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7382763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xfd3a…ccbebacked Under66c150.89$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.063046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under56c147.9$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0818238.5%70 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under56c145.75$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1327752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over44c143.48$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.13520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-64.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over65c142.1$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6119356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over46c130.1$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602536%9 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under66c129.06$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8814463.2%91 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over59c122$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5622744.1%100 W · 127 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under56c118.57$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1333751.3%173 W · 164 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b24…4247backed Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9e3…93f2backed Over75c114.12$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.794259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over37c111.14$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9322645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92f…1a35backed Over60c108.33$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652524%6 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3153…1dbcbacked Over42c107.2$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305856.9%33 W · 25 L+9.6wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+37.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked Over44c102.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451520%3 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4315738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49fa…6eebbacked Under56c90.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.64887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick59cpaid+37.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under78c89.74$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7442862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over16c89.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0774256.9%422 W · 320 L+46.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Over28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251560%9 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+51.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under68c87.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.652788.9%24 W · 3 L+5.3wins+0.20per pick69cpaid+28.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over79c86$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.944165.9%27 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc39…82d8backed Under58c74.14$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.143100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Over44c71.19$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.321947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+36.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.555955.1%308 W · 251 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Under39c61.54$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.543865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+38.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2102…087dbacked Under57c61.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b46…fd16backed Over44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514431.9%46 W · 98 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf676…09c5backed Over42c55.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over44c55.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.342941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb429…5f2ebacked Under43c53.84$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.84988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick63cpaid+44.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over43c50.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8250450%252 W · 252 L+19.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under24c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381675%12 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+62.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over43c49.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2526444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under41c46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0824557.6%141 W · 104 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over69c45.16$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.055044%22 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Over44c43.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.289045.6%41 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under56c41.13$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.975457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106338.1%24 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x18d2…e9c3backed Under67c37.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.45373.6%39 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d4e…20c0backed Under57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.09850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under57c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.621,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over45c33.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.918851.6%97 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x033a…7188backed Over65c28.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.53425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.