TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,976
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,976 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Over79c75,000$59,250 inWon+$15,749.993100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under20c61,208$12,245 inLost-$12,244.836,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under27c13,683$3,694 inLost-$3,694.3375542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under10c4,935$500 inLost-$5008116%13 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ff…7ac2backed Over70c2,000$1,400 inWon+$6003100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x722b…c68bbacked Over72c1,505$1,083 inWon+$421.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under16c777$124 inLost-$124.3229250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over79c774.11$611 inWon+$163.037859%46 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under20c715.62$143 inLost-$143.396338.1%24 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under25c616.98$153 inLost-$152.5569742.5%296 W · 401 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under14c345.65$48 inLost-$48.391,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under14c267.47$37 inLost-$37.4580853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Under20c200$40 inLost-$403537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under20c183.69$37 inLost-$36.8818463%116 W · 68 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under14c178.22$25 inLost-$24.9532951.4%169 W · 160 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under14c157.23$22 inLost-$22.0185048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over72c127.25$91 inWon+$36.1819356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under27c110.31$30 inLost-$29.6821857.3%125 W · 93 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under29c110$31 inLost-$31.4474644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under14c100.72$14 inLost-$14.154132.9%178 W · 363 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd558…a218backed Under18c88$16 inLost-$15.72520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Under22c59.28$13 inLost-$13.1312963.6%82 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over80c56.48$45 inWon+$11.33764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1ed…af7bbacked Over77c25.97$20 inWon+$5.973100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c78…e29bbacked Over73c15$11 inWon+$4.056262.9%39 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.