TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,797
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,423

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,797 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under24c34,255$8,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,265.746,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Over66c15,152$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,151.521566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over50c10,224$5,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,088.4720545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over65c6,084$3,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.485748.5%416 W · 441 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c5,044$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,497.9677342.8%331 W · 442 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under34c2,548$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.1550450%252 W · 252 L+19.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under34c2,167$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.091,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over66c1,797$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.7319239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over58c1,663$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.5391435.3%323 W · 591 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008116%13 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Under4c1,467$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-41.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under34c1,389$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.3859847.7%285 W · 313 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8310739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over65c1,041$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.3222049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34012562.4%78 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10933.2%3 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10290%0 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over73c817.36$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.1359332.9%195 W · 398 L-30.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under34c799.98$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.9956051.4%288 W · 272 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over79c708.46$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.314055%77 W · 63 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Over66c545.4$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.445646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2430050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under34c502.91$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.992,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over76c499.8$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7619356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over65c498.46$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.461241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over65c444.72$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8881053.6%434 W · 376 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under25c420.83$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.216232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under34c401.48$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.541850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee3…cab9backed Under14c400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-65%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under35c371.43$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13012652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over75c365.27$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9418851.6%97 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under34c361.9$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0518238.5%70 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under47c358.13$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.774644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under6c324.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.86338.1%24 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Under35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510147.5%48 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over65c254.17$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2369851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under35c214.29$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7535428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Over64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729739.2%38 W · 59 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over44c200$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1135251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18ff…ee46backed Over66c181.89$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.891266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe32e…a3eebacked Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over66c169.03$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.456241.5%233 W · 329 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over79c160.33$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2672442.7%309 W · 415 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7906…be5dbacked Over65c155$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.523354.5%18 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.063043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under18c143.69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2122057.7%127 W · 93 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea47…d64bbacked Under35c131.14$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.92254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under34c129.43$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0110534.3%36 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under10c123.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1618463%116 W · 68 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8867…518cbacked Under34c121.39$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.271040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b81…b60ebacked Over67c115.34$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.06425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over76c108.24$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.342862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under11c105.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.641952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+48.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under34c104.61$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.571,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed Under13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed Over65c99.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.991637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over64c93.89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.813633.8%46 W · 90 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under35c90$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.59345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under34c86.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3433751.3%173 W · 164 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3655955.1%308 W · 251 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9211437.7%43 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0864…df33backed Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.762665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick61cpaid+42.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over66c74.24$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.242147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over65c66.8$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.381,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfcd…36dfbacked Over69c66.77$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.571752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under35c61.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4526444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1258…6a43backed Over45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5949…5fc4backed Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.08757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbecf…0f51backed Over65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.153767.6%25 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7816045.6%73 W · 87 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e5…8e79backed Over48c43.75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.753151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over55c41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6322645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc45a…1565backed Under52c39.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.75933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-53.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under43c39.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1627151.7%140 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d70…d0a6backed Under56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb2…d2c3backed Over66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c94…1f7dbacked Under43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd36…873bbacked Over47c29.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.89728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.859265.2%60 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8684…bfaabacked Under35c28.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.152737%10 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Over65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.875761.4%35 W · 22 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aa1…0193backed Over60c24.92$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.92966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over57c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.529644.6%132 W · 164 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.