TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Heroic vs REKONIX (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-In

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heroicof Heroic, REKONIX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,826
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,765

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,826 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x088e…bc56backed REKONIX0c15,000$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX20c3,565$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.131,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed REKONIX0c3,485$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.596169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Heroic78c3,210$2,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.1657455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc736…7255backed REKONIX1c2,940$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.44141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed REKONIX14c2,325$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.564932.7%16 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed REKONIX22c2,300$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.999345.2%42 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed REKONIX23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9919742.1%83 W · 114 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed REKONIX18c1,977$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.8515047.3%71 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked REKONIX12c1,660$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.841,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed REKONIX10c1,507$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.3146535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7b8…6631backed Heroic77c1,500$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3452100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+66.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d71…b752backed REKONIX26c1,376$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.76650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX19c1,290$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.741,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked REKONIX22c1,201$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.1412843.8%56 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked REKONIX22c1,183$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.951546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked REKONIX17c1,010$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.661,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…f688backed REKONIX25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Heroic75c973$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.2513346.6%62 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaee8…01b2backed Heroic74c958$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked REKONIX11c899.06$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.95740.4%23 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58e3…22c8backed REKONIX26c891$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked REKONIX15c818.42$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.082,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5528…85c5backed REKONIX26c799$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x183c…9bf6backed REKONIX26c776$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07f8…cfaabacked Heroic78c669.38$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.262458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1307…d640backed Heroic77c626$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.98366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0826…8738backed REKONIX24c600$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe084…04c0backed Heroic76c600$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1443100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+224.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Heroic77c512.94$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6134468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked Heroic78c512.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.826460.9%39 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked REKONIX20c501$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.414121.3%30 W · 111 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-60.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb778…6492backed Heroic80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf9…6ef2backed Heroic74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1303100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed REKONIX23c499.86$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9749133.6%165 W · 326 L+1.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0827…b573backed Heroic75c497.61$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.4366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked REKONIX20c495$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9923546.8%110 W · 125 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked REKONIX26c480.77$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7111955.5%66 W · 53 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe869…c67abacked Heroic74c464$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ba…c976backed REKONIX26c460.92$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb4c…7469backed Heroic74c449$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.74580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee50…9e60backed Heroic74c427$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.024100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+60.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Heroic78c423.35$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1415465.6%101 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2693…1781backed Heroic74c418$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.68560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+98.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked REKONIX23c399.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9222845.6%104 W · 124 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Heroic77c398.54$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.686243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x674f…4382backed REKONIX12c389.51$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8232…d12fbacked Heroic76c363.95$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5128062.9%176 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a2…9179backed Heroic74c350$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x096a…0074backed REKONIX29c339.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003928.2%11 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-45.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x26ff…2df7backed REKONIX20c318.63$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.831030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed REKONIX22c315.62$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4464744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…93c6backed Heroic74c276$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.76560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ee…a2b3backed Heroic77c274.39$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.115354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked REKONIX18c265$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9677256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x380c…951cbacked Heroic76c262.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.144973.5%36 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked Heroic78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4112868%87 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb878…e3e2backed Heroic79c242.04$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.331464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed REKONIX14c208.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebf4…181ebacked Heroic79c207.84$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3110770.1%75 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3810…a252backed REKONIX25c203$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.75425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe34e…c0f4backed REKONIX14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed REKONIX25c199.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9920838.9%81 W · 127 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed REKONIX17c199.55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.434063.2%215 W · 125 L+38.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Heroic75c186$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.52744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed REKONIX23c185$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.559145.1%41 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed REKONIX17c184.24$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8111348.7%55 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Heroic79c183.74$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6148352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ab…e3a9backed REKONIX13c181.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.05728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3532…3711backed REKONIX24c174.22$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.734065%26 W · 14 L+7.0wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed REKONIX15c164.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.84136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked REKONIX23c155.48$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3511052.7%58 W · 52 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x62b7…f260backed REKONIX13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020735.3%73 W · 134 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed REKONIX13c148.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202931%9 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x115d…1691backed Heroic74c141.17$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6614244.4%63 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29e3…4a42backed REKONIX25c139$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79c6…aaf5backed REKONIX25c130$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.540%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf82b…5211backed REKONIX25c129.69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332917.2%5 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-46.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed REKONIX25c129.07$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3216437.2%61 W · 103 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed REKONIX15c128.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.546664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b05…b133backed Heroic80c125.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0411254.5%61 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa273…b404backed REKONIX26c125$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-61.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Heroic78c122.03$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8515345.8%70 W · 83 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6998…ae95backed REKONIX13c114.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9416821.4%36 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed REKONIX25c114.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6112229.5%36 W · 86 L-18.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-41.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x6976…3185backed REKONIX19c105$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.44951%25 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed REKONIX20c102$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015131.8%48 W · 103 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Heroic74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2613657.4%78 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x836a…4dfabacked REKONIX12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c15…155ebacked Heroic75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x276d…1cf4backed REKONIX12c92.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.643026.7%8 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed REKONIX24c91.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.362429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked REKONIX24c90$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.695841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Heroic74c87.98$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8780544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed REKONIX21c85.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811836.4%43 W · 75 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked REKONIX30c81.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2733845.6%154 W · 184 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked REKONIX21c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.870236.6%257 W · 445 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae7…a109backed Heroic74c80$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Heroic80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1511145.9%51 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1976…e363backed REKONIX17c73.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.145646.4%26 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.