Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Heroic vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01804d63afb79842083bee89bb4b630cae821c7e6bbf2b4b310c3c230f4863d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Heroic | 72c | 14,093$10,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,924.59 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Heroic | 78c | 11,269$8,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.99 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Heroic | 70c | 8,680$6,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.06 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 27c | 6,961$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.27 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked REKONIX | 28c | 6,794$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.08 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed REKONIX | 17c | 4,834$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.47 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed REKONIX | 32c | 4,501$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.44 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed REKONIX | 29c | 4,500$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX | 29c | 3,778$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.26 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Heroic | 73c | 3,060$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.8 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed REKONIX | 38c | 3,038$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.11 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked REKONIX | 25c | 3,030$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.07 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Heroic | 48c | 2,721$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.07 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed REKONIX | 30c | 1,700$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Heroic | 75c | 1,650$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.81 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Heroic | 69c | 1,603$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.56 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Heroic | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed REKONIX | 29c | 999.97$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed REKONIX | 52c | 887.84$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.74 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Heroic | 70c | 864.65$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.28 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Heroic | 71c | 740.28$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.28 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…4a8dbacked Heroic | 72c | 685.97$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.77 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Heroic | 70c | 571.52$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.52 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked REKONIX | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…7e84backed REKONIX | 31c | 433$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed REKONIX | 37c | 422.61$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.05 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Heroic | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed REKONIX | 27c | 345.93$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed REKONIX | 29c | 326.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed REKONIX | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc887…c181backed Heroic | 71c | 281.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…f611backed REKONIX | 11c | 260$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Heroic | 64c | 260$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Heroic | 74c | 259.48$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.48 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed REKONIX | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0225…6e17backed Heroic | 64c | 250.77$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.37 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed REKONIX | 41c | 248.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.35 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ba…c976backed REKONIX | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…1b12backed REKONIX | 63c | 228.09$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.35 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed REKONIX | 43c | 213.32$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.05 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Heroic | 74c | 200$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d86…ea87backed Heroic | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed REKONIX | 31c | 196.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked REKONIX | 33c | 192.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed Heroic | 70c | 162.01$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 69c | 159.4$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed REKONIX | 28c | 149.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Heroic | 69c | 142$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Heroic | 61c | 139.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed REKONIX | 35c | 126.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Heroic | 64c | 125.92$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e83…ecabbacked REKONIX | 33c | 117.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed REKONIX | 33c | 103.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked REKONIX | 40c | 102.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Heroic | 60c | 101.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Heroic | 73c | 100.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…0629backed Heroic | 68c | 99.97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed REKONIX | 26c | 99.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…7a4bbacked Heroic | 71c | 98.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…7fafbacked Heroic | 49c | 96.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked REKONIX | 25c | 89.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked REKONIX | 29c | 88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed REKONIX | 35c | 85.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Heroic | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked REKONIX | 28c | 70.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 300 | 41.3%124 W · 176 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…78e5backed REKONIX | 27c | 69.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…a4a0backed REKONIX | 30c | 67.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed REKONIX | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42c…786bbacked REKONIX | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Heroic | 71c | 57.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Heroic | 51c | 55.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed REKONIX | 41c | 53.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…1cf4backed REKONIX | 32c | 52.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed REKONIX | 25c | 52.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…1a6ebacked Heroic | 68c | 51.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a61…02d2backed Heroic | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60c…f540backed REKONIX | 48c | 42.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed REKONIX | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Heroic | 76c | 41.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…2fd8backed Heroic | 70c | 40.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked REKONIX | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Heroic | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed REKONIX | 41c | 37.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…df57backed REKONIX | 30c | 36.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Heroic | 69c | 36.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Heroic | 72c | 34.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…7b57backed Heroic | 71c | 31.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…d266backed Heroic | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…3bfbbacked Heroic | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Heroic | 66c | 21.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -6.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -61%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked REKONIX | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 374 | 56.4%211 W · 163 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…aaf2backed Heroic | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…d2b5backed Heroic | 63c | 16.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Heroic vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Heroic vs REKONIX (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-InHeroic won
- Dota 2: Heroic vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerHeroic won
- First Blood in Game 2?Heroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.