World Politics · resolved market
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85a4bf780f8172789a76db41b199d40e7551a4c515e6e368e907aed1140dd106
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f9…6188backed Yes | 38c | 10,302$3,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,412.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed No | 30c | 7,574$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.94 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…97bcbacked Yes | 57c | 6,155$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 6,115$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.59 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 45c | 5,762$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.3 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3757…b838backed Yes | 61c | 3,969$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 72c | 3,952$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.9 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aff…f16abacked Yes | 75c | 3,741$2,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 72c | 3,238$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.02 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 69c | 2,452$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.85 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d5…5e0cbacked Yes | 75c | 2,102$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 28c | 2,041$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.72 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 27c | 1,998$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.09 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0408…061dbacked Yes | 57c | 1,891$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +319.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked Yes | 72c | 1,818$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 35c | 1,757$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.2 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Yes | 79c | 1,620$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.3 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 56c | 1,605$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.82 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 58c | 1,427$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.24 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 17c | 1,410$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.7 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.31per pick | 15cpaid | +216.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 30c | 1,397$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.74 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 72c | 1,373$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.76 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 34c | 1,344$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.4 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 67c | 1,323$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.35 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 66c | 1,278$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.57 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 33c | 1,179$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.26 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 21c | 932.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.55 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…d5f9backed Yes | 70c | 923.01$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153d…b4bbbacked Yes | 59c | 917.78$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 57c | 915.5$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.49 | 150 | 26%39 W · 111 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46ef…9686backed Yes | 68c | 890$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 48c | 865.7$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.47 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f41…c85ebacked Yes | 63c | 800.36$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0015…d5b0backed Yes | 69c | 800$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…bb52backed Yes | 63c | 791.97$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4778…69edbacked Yes | 72c | 737.97$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 69c | 727.49$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.49 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 70c | 713.24$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.77 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…2574backed Yes | 73c | 688.06$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 69c | 685$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.13 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…876dbacked Yes | 24c | 678.08$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb76…6723backed Yes | 79c | 664.61$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…6908backed Yes | 76c | 661.79$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.79 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 48c | 630.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.79 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 63c | 615.59$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…db74backed Yes | 66c | 607.71$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab1a…06aebacked Yes | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7475…2a10backed Yes | 68c | 589.46$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.46 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…3ed0backed Yes | 75c | 563.31$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…2b92backed Yes | 67c | 504.48$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Yes | 60c | 500$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +140%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes | 43c | 499.77$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.23 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba29…363bbacked Yes | 65c | 490$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…bb63backed Yes | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07c6…778fbacked Yes | 72c | 415.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…0f90backed Yes | 69c | 409.45$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.87 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 57c | 405.71$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.46 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 29c | 402.47$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.49 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +18%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e64…d21bbacked Yes | 61c | 395$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…1196backed Yes | 65c | 387.37$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.37 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes | 51c | 380.96$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.68 | 110 | 17.3%19 W · 91 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…842fbacked No | 34c | 379.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…9b88backed Yes | 73c | 367$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…77fcbacked Yes | 63c | 365.87$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 24c | 361.87$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.52 | 134 | 13.4%18 W · 116 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yes | 78c | 352.45$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed No | 41c | 345$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc979…4a98backed No | 76c | 334.62$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.31 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…7a88backed Yes | 31c | 324.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked Yes | 26c | 322.57$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.36 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 63c | 317$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.29 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…155dbacked Yes | 71c | 310.42$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…c456backed No | 33c | 306.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c0…8086backed Yes | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed No | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbd…81c2backed Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…fb0abacked Yes | 45c | 299.47$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.22 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 33c | 296.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.96 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…f2f0backed No | 33c | 292$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d82…0515backed Yes | 72c | 291.67$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed No | 41c | 291.65$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf12…6f93backed Yes | 70c | 285.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…215dbacked Yes | 74c | 276.61$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f6…e40cbacked Yes | 74c | 269.68$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed Yes | 71c | 267$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.21 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf737…37aabacked Yes | 75c | 265.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.02 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…64d1backed No | 29c | 262.93$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…1d59backed Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked No | 43c | 250$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…6cefbacked Yes | 67c | 249.39$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0368…8febbacked Yes | 74c | 248.76$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed No | 72c | 240$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 22c | 224.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6742…2ab7backed Yes | 75c | 223.51$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Yes | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…256ebacked Yes | 71c | 209.97$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?this page
- Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?No won
- Will Danny Faure win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?No won
- Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?No won
- Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?No won
- Will Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?No won
- Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?No won
- Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.