Olympics · resolved market
Winter Games 2026: Will USA or Norway earn more medals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb09995aee8aa98e3de4a7a063b67aad35333b1cb8cf7ab13027a63ebe4340c72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Norwayof USA, Norway
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed USA | 11c | 8,520$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.64 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed USA | 16c | 5,533$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Norway | 78c | 5,028$3,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked USA | 13c | 4,706$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed USA | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed USA | 10c | 1,372$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed USA | 18c | 1,262$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.27 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed USA | 5c | 1,194$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked USA | 17c | 1,078$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.23 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed USA | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…69ddbacked Norway | 66c | 992.91$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6741…e0f9backed Norway | 72c | 933.25$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…a9d2backed USA | 19c | 927.57$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.4 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed USA | 5c | 904.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b54…5e38backed Norway | 71c | 898.86$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked USA | 18c | 825.07$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3295…70f6backed Norway | 80c | 540$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…045abacked USA | 23c | 520.95$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.44 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc35e…d368backed Norway | 75c | 424.83$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e4…1d09backed Norway | 67c | 412.34$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Norway | 74c | 407.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1203…77ddbacked USA | 8c | 406.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed USA | 11c | 380$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed USA | 30c | 337.63$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.92 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed USA | 15c | 282.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked USA | 21c | 273.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed USA | 7c | 271.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…5292backed USA | 13c | 261.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddf…4479backed Norway | 72c | 238$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed USA | 36c | 219.28$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked USA | 22c | 202.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…d03dbacked Norway | 65c | 197.77$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed USA | 33c | 163.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5f…7c46backed USA | 7c | 156.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…ef8bbacked Norway | 70c | 142.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Norway | 77c | 122.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed USA | 22c | 117$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Norway | 76c | 104.17$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Norway | 75c | 103.63$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…070dbacked USA | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked USA | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…da76backed USA | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d11fbacked USA | 21c | 93.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1209…0133backed Norway | 61c | 86.76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34bf…26e7backed USA | 32c | 82.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…c712backed Norway | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed USA | 29c | 73.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…b0f0backed USA | 34c | 73.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd9…b321backed Norway | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…d08abacked Norway | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Norway | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6e…2100backed Norway | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2d…7801backed Norway | 68c | 58.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…918dbacked USA | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed USA | 36c | 54.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ff…2625backed Norway | 70c | 54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88c…9207backed Norway | 75c | 53.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Norway | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…275dbacked Norway | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf827…7992backed Norway | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0f…6c12backed Norway | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…fec7backed Norway | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Norway | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Norway | 79c | 46.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32bc…110fbacked Norway | 65c | 45.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b2…c753backed Norway | 67c | 44.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…aa41backed Norway | 68c | 44.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked Norway | 73c | 44.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…4a2dbacked Norway | 72c | 42.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…50fabacked USA | 32c | 42.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea9…1a13backed USA | 28c | 41.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed USA | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6785…22e8backed USA | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78a…61c4backed Norway | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…9bf1backed Norway | 64c | 36.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Norway | 69c | 32.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…0978backed Norway | 68c | 32.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…94b6backed Norway | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…9be0backed Norway | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…4fc0backed Norway | 66c | 29.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25a…00e6backed Norway | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x352f…f160backed Norway | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7433…7851backed Norway | 65c | 24.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfa…b72cbacked Norway | 69c | 21.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb778…0bcbbacked Norway | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba3…1aecbacked Norway | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…465dbacked Norway | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…7c7abacked Norway | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf96…7b0bbacked Norway | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88c…7bccbacked Norway | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Norway | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…3f2abacked Norway | 67c | 15.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de7…1e31backed Norway | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.