TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ff7…c712

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: AI, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category AI at 53 out of 100; worst Music at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$28.54
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$42.38
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$26.55
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+238.7%+$66.84
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.09
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$37.92
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 21 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+116.4%+$23.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winter Games 2026: Will USA or Norway earn more medals? backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$8.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$64
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ivan Demidov win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.