Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on April 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fd64eb4c5a6c856283dc03f52576a502f4c3663aee9e0553a6c52d60e45329d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98dc…e3f0backed Yes | 1c | 13,632$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…194abacked Yes | 1c | 2,664$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 64c | 1,201$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.34 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca71…610bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,059$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.92 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +13.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 32c | 941.37$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.38 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…9f31backed Yes | 3c | 908.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 8c | 784.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 25c | 737.54$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.81 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfa…1542backed No | 79c | 722.1$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.43 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…16a2backed Yes | 5c | 660.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 9c | 648.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 9c | 506.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 72c | 506.8$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.1 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed Yes | 18c | 504.29$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.98 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 66c | 495.16$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.68 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed Yes | 2c | 447.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…18a2backed Yes | 10c | 413.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 435 | 15.2%66 W · 369 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…ffd5backed Yes | 7c | 383.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 66c | 377.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.19 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…fb46backed Yes | 16c | 364.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 8c | 360.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 23c | 358.82$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.71 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 19c | 337.45$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…e6f1backed Yes | 5c | 335.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 474 | 17.9%85 W · 389 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 29c | 306.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked No | 63c | 289.23$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.06 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 5c | 285.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…4883backed No | 72c | 258.51$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 20c | 254.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…dfb5backed Yes | 14c | 208.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 189.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…5659backed Yes | 56c | 186.27$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd0…9f9abacked Yes | 21c | 183.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 74c | 171.91$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7b…e79fbacked Yes | 7c | 164.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 6c | 159.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…fcc1backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 9c | 148.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013a…e374backed Yes | 14c | 142.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb666…8f47backed No | 40c | 142.73$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.31 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 50c | 129.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes | 9c | 128.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 45c | 108.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 38c | 100.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 18c | 99.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 15c | 97.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…b1e6backed Yes | 79c | 96.1$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 66cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…7d37backed No | 60c | 96.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…b0f2backed No | 21c | 93.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 11c | 92.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…e61bbacked Yes | 12c | 91.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…5527backed Yes | 80c | 90.19$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 300 | 46.7%140 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…0759backed No | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 267 | 38.6%103 W · 164 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…6063backed No | 20c | 86.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.77 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 72c | 84.96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…fb31backed Yes | 13c | 82.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | +18.5wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8aa…48ccbacked Yes | 30c | 73.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b24…1586backed No | 38c | 69.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 31c | 62.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 78c | 60.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Yes | 73c | 59.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…c265backed Yes | 24c | 57.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…22e0backed Yes | 33c | 52.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd088…a3eabacked No | 56c | 48.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 40c | 45.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 30c | 44.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…4dd2backed No | 79c | 42.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 62c | 37.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…275dbacked No | 74c | 30.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed Yes | 70c | 29.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 274 | 63.9%175 W · 99 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…8d4cbacked Yes | 79c | 28.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4475…b483backed Yes | 69c | 27.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 67c | 27.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b7…1682backed Yes | 80c | 26.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea0…8e3bbacked Yes | 67c | 21.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…621ebacked No | 68c | 20.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8d…f1e3backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecc8…9335backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 57c | 18.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 73c | 15.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x20f2…3b5cbacked No | 80c | 15.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on April 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on April 10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.