La Liga · resolved market
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f1de453a61d15388c4d354b968ababa591de7f3f3c7d8700023bae59aecf033
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $266,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,808 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 445 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaab2…936dbacked Yes | 54c | 22,000$11,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,119.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 44c | 21,176$9,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,350.16 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes | 55c | 17,166$9,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,724.75 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 12,877$4,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,603.03 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 45c | 10,861$4,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,887.45 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked No | 47c | 9,708$4,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,562.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…59febacked No | 47c | 8,178$3,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,821.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed No | 44c | 7,500$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 56c | 7,500$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 55c | 6,200$3,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,789.97 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 54c | 5,877$3,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.79 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 3c | 5,430$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.91 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 55c | 4,696$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.14 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 46c | 4,377$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.33 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 54c | 3,498$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 3,312$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.71 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 57c | 2,739$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.9 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 36c | 2,574$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.52 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Yes | 54c | 2,560$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 5c | 2,535$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.77 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +14.3wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +150%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 43c | 2,462$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.6 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 46c | 2,300$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 44c | 2,271$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.9 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Yes | 56c | 2,200$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…a910backed No | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.94 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed No | 47c | 1,890$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.53 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 45c | 1,822$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6658…8afdbacked No | 46c | 1,800$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…8e6cbacked No | 46c | 1,607$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.04 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +87%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 53c | 1,594$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.39 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 34c | 1,530$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.45 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +7.1wins | +0.24per pick | 41cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 46c | 1,482$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.72 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Yes | 56c | 1,370$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 56c | 1,337$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.99 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed Yes | 44c | 1,318$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 61c | 1,250$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.5 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…e62fbacked No | 52c | 1,140$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 53c | 1,128$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.4 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 1,079$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.95 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 40c | 1,065$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.62 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c2…7f19backed No | 56c | 1,039$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 55c | 1,029$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.99 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 56c | 1,025$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.81 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 47c | 999.94$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.97 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 56c | 976.99$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.99 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7270…add3backed No | 51c | 953$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 20c | 923.75$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.19 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed Yes | 48c | 891$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed No | 44c | 860.07$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.43 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Yes | 57c | 857.44$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…c73bbacked No | 44c | 848.84$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed Yes | 38c | 843$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed Yes | 43c | 842$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 56cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 46c | 839.98$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.99 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 51c | 830$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.13 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed No | 45c | 802$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.9 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…aa07backed Yes | 44c | 802$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 70c | 749.99$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…9d96backed No | 56c | 722$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0657backed Yes | 50c | 722$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed No | 45c | 690.12$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.36 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 44c | 683.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 45c | 680$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 35c | 678.98$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.57 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 53c | 676$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.85 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…505abacked No | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 56c | 666.07$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.07 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…50c0backed Yes | 44c | 639$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 55c | 622.2$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.2 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…2d8abacked Yes | 49c | 609$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…933ebacked Yes | 44c | 609$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 56c | 603.44$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.19 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fb…57abbacked Yes | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…d1bebacked No | 62c | 583$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed No | 56c | 563$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked No | 43c | 560.47$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed Yes | 44c | 555$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 57c | 554.77$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.79 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 56c | 549.54$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.8 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0d…0a99backed Yes | 55c | 541.82$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.82 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked Yes | 49c | 512$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x965d…7773backed No | 52c | 512$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Yes | 54c | 508.01$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.26 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed No | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…69d4backed No | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 21c | 499.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…c4c9backed No | 51c | 491$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…1b67backed Yes | 38c | 490$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked No | 57c | 476$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked Yes | 49c | 474$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 56c | 464$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.16 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.